Davidson
Model Outputs
1990-1991
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 802 (#236) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 817 (#246) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 960 (#186) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -10.9 (#249) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.8 (#220) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.312 (#226) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.154 (#257) | AdjNet -14.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.150 (#256) | AdjNet -15.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.289 (#248) | AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 73.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.415 (#210) | AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 69.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.287 (#237) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.310 (#233) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 844 (#232) | RD 153 | GP 27 |
1991 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1990-11-23 | N | Central Connecticut State | L | 109 - 129 |
| 1990-11-24 | N | Monmouth | L | 55 - 64 |
| 1990-11-27 | vs | William & Mary | L | 58 - 59 |
| 1990-12-05 | vs | UNC Asheville | W | 73 - 71 |
| 1990-12-08 | vs | Wake Forest | L | 56 - 72 |
| 1990-12-10 | vs | Radford | L | 57 - 70 |
| 1990-12-29 | @ | UNC Asheville | L | 86 - 89 |
| 1991-01-05 | @ | Charleston Southern | L | 74 - 80 |
| 1991-01-08 | vs | Appalachian State | W | 72 - 60 |
| 1991-01-12 | vs | Coastal Carolina | L | 48 - 55 |
| 1991-01-14 | @ | Campbell | W | 59 - 53 |
| 1991-01-17 | vs | Charleston Southern | W | 92 - 78 |
| 1991-01-19 | @ | Radford | L | 72 - 78 |
| 1991-01-21 | @ | Virginia | L | 47 - 71 |
| 1991-01-23 | vs | South Carolina | L | 57 - 85 |
| 1991-01-26 | vs | Augusta | L | 72 - 81 |
| 1991-01-28 | @ | Charlotte | L | 72 - 85 |
| 1991-01-31 | @ | Augusta | W | 62 - 54 |
| 1991-02-02 | @ | Miami (FL) | L | 67 - 79 |
| 1991-02-06 | vs | Winthrop | W | 59 - 42 |
| 1991-02-11 | @ | Coastal Carolina | L | 52 - 64 |
| 1991-02-13 | @ | Duke | L | 39 - 74 |
| 1991-02-16 | @ | Winthrop | L | 69 - 71 |
| 1991-02-20 | vs | Campbell | W | 73 - 58 |
| 1991-02-25 | @ | Liberty | W | 71 - 67 |
| 1991-02-28 | N | Winthrop | W | 63 - 48 |
| 1991-03-01 | N | Coastal Carolina | L | 55 - 58 |
1991 Roster
No roster data available for this season.