Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 915 (#440) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 881 (#450) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 931 (#580) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.9 (#122) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.9 (#331) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.071 (#553) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.232 (#353) | NetEff -8.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.383 (#449) | AdjNet -4.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.399 (#447) | AdjNet -3.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.447 (#447) | AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 63.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.458 (#455) | AdjO 58.2 | AdjD 60.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.500 (#353) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.485 (#371) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 905 (#368) | RD 101 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Central Mich. | L | 44 - 71 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Walsh | L | 68 - 77 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Ohio Dominican | L | 49 - 68 |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Lewis | L | 42 - 48 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Tiffin | L | 48 - 65 |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | Malone | L | 56 - 70 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Saginaw Valley | L | 64 - 68 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Lake Superior St. | W | 74 - 59 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | McKendree | W | 64 - 61 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Embry-Riddle (FL) | L | 57 - 70 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Northern Mich. | L | 46 - 73 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Michigan Tech | L | 65 - 71 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Wayne St. (MI) | L | 59 - 68 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Grand Valley St. | L | 57 - 78 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Ferris St. | L | 61 - 78 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Roosevelt | W | 73 - 57 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Wis.-Parkside | L | 58 - 76 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Michigan Tech | W | 63 - 51 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Northern Mich. | L | 62 - 95 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Wayne St. (MI) | L | 46 - 67 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Purdue Northwest | W | 55 - 46 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Riley | - | 1 | 32.0 | 22.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 24.0 | 129 | 7.6 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 1.2 | 81.4 | 70.0 |
| Emma Schierbeek | - | 1 | 28.0 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 84 | 4.9 | 49.2 | 47.1 | 44.4 | 0 | 0.9 | 58.8 | 58.8 |
| Kadyn Blanchard | - | 1 | 29.0 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 13.0 | 143 | 8.4 | 43.4 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.33 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Maddie Geers | - | 20 | 35.3 | 12.0 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 10.4 | 9.5 | -128 | -6.1 | -21.2 | 44.5 | 25.0 | 70.0 | -1.71 | 51.0 | 47.4 |
| Nevaeh Williams | - | 14 | 33.6 | 11.1 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 13.0 | 4.6 | -123 | -7.7 | -36.4 | 31.3 | 24.1 | 73.7 | -3.47 | 39.0 | 34.9 |
| Ellie Toney | - | 18 | 28.5 | 10.3 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 10.5 | 5.4 | -131 | -6.5 | -26.5 | 35.4 | 27.4 | 68.3 | -1.11 | 44.7 | 41.5 |
| Mya Hiram | - | 1 | 30.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 9.0 | 105 | 6.2 | 41.0 | 41.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.52 | 40.2 | 41.7 |
| Anna Axtell | - | 20 | 22.1 | 8.4 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 7.8 | 4.5 | -46 | -2.2 | -13.5 | 34.8 | 31.0 | 89.2 | 1.59 | 49.0 | 43.5 |
| Charlotte Miller | - | 1 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 41 | 2.4 | 14.1 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | -1.48 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Reese Polega | - | 19 | 23.9 | 5.3 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 6.2 | 4.6 | -14 | -0.7 | -3.7 | 29.1 | 26.7 | 71.4 | -1.94 | 38.1 | 32.5 |
| Kayla Covington | - | 20 | 14.4 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 4.0 | 2.4 | -31 | -1.5 | -11.5 | 49.4 | 0 | 54.2 | -1.35 | 50.8 | 49.4 |
| Tangee Gagau | - | 20 | 15.7 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 3.5 | 1.8 | -72 | -3.4 | -21.6 | 36.6 | 31.4 | 69.0 | 0.99 | 49.5 | 44.4 |
| Hannah Schroeder | - | 8 | 25.8 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 7 | 0.9 | 3.3 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 81.0 | -0.15 | 34.4 | 16.7 |
| Taaria Pehi-Kupa | - | 19 | 10.2 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 0.7 | -42 | -2.1 | -27.8 | 45.7 | 33.3 | 50.0 | -1.16 | 49.5 | 48.9 |
| Maya Mitchell | - | 17 | 18.8 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 3.4 | -53 | -2.9 | -13.0 | 41.3 | 0.0 | 31.2 | 2.18 | 40.5 | 41.3 |
| Claire Erickson | - | 1 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | -69 | -3.8 | -16.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Elle Irwin | - | 1 | 30.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 190 | 11.2 | 58.2 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.63 | 14.3 | 14.3 |
| Amaya Henderson | - | 10 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 18 | 1.6 | 87.8 | 40.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.07 | 42.5 | 40.0 |
| Bri Thomas | - | 7 | 4.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | -0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.5 | 14.3 | 0 | 0.37 | 18.8 | 18.8 |
| Madison Fant | - | 4 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Mara Mitchell | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 52 | 3.2 | 35.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Ally Schultz | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 23 | 1.4 | 18.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.89 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Grace Lyons | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25 | 1.6 | 18.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.84 | 0 | 0 |
| Deyonce Thompson | - | 1 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -16 | -1.3 | -8.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.36 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG