Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1081 (#65) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1077 (#134) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1018 (#205) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.2 (#156) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.8 (#194) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.286 (#446) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.789 (#221) | NetEff +12.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.635 (#342) | AdjNet +4.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.642 (#343) | AdjNet +5.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.594 (#334) | AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 72.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.601 (#148) | AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 68.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.683 (#155) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.665 (#166) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1093 (#124) | RD 94 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Rockhurst | L | 72 - 82 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | William Jewell | W | 63 - 55 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Kuyper | W | 93 - 52 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Tiffin | W | 66 - 59 |
| 2025-11-28 | @ | Claflin | L | 99 - 102 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | P.R.-Mayaguez | W | 92 - 54 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Saginaw Valley | W | 76 - 70 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Lake Superior St. | W | 99 - 94 |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Grace Christian (MI) | W | 85 - 50 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Findlay | W | 83 - 74 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Northern Mich. | L | 65 - 101 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Michigan Tech | L | 68 - 77 |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Purdue Northwest | W | 77 - 74 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Wayne St. (MI) | L | 66 - 80 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | Grand Valley St. | L | 50 - 90 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Ferris St. | L | 69 - 82 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Roosevelt | W | 78 - 60 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Wis.-Parkside | W | 68 - 54 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Michigan Tech | W | 72 - 69 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Northern Mich. | L | 63 - 77 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Wayne St. (MI) | L | 68 - 77 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Purdue Northwest | L | 56 - 62 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chang Hoth | - | 1 | 30.0 | 24.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 81.8 | 85.7 | 0 | -1.4 | 109.1 | 109.1 |
| Ken Walker | - | 21 | 34.5 | 22.0 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 16.7 | 8.2 | 57 | 2.9 | 9.8 | 44.0 | 39.4 | 89.8 | 0.97 | 58.6 | 53.3 |
| Justin Asi | - | 1 | 22.0 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | -7 | -0.5 | -5.9 | 66.7 | 80.0 | 0 | 0.26 | 88.9 | 88.9 |
| Dylan Smith | - | 18 | 26.5 | 10.7 | 7.2 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 3.1 | 6.7 | 11.3 | 55 | 3.1 | 13.3 | 57.0 | 16.7 | 49.5 | 1.42 | 57.1 | 57.4 |
| Curtis Jackson | - | 20 | 29.7 | 10.1 | 5.0 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 8.0 | 11.3 | 6 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 40.9 | 27.3 | 73.8 | 0.19 | 51.8 | 44.7 |
| Alden Ritt | - | 21 | 27.7 | 8.6 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 7.5 | 9.8 | -27 | -1.4 | -7.0 | 43.9 | 28.0 | 65.5 | -2.13 | 53.0 | 51.3 |
| Sangolay Njie | - | 4 | 17.4 | 7.5 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 5.8 | 5.5 | 31 | 7.8 | 33.4 | 56.5 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 1.67 | 61.7 | 58.7 |
| Joey Cabana | - | 1 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | -9 | -0.5 | -2.5 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.3 | 58.3 | 58.3 |
| Bryce Moore | - | 1 | 30.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 58 | 3.1 | 18.6 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -3.87 | 35.9 | 25.0 |
| Marshaun Flakes | - | 15 | 20.0 | 6.5 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 6.2 | 5.1 | -65 | -4.6 | -28.5 | 38.7 | 23.4 | 66.7 | -1.53 | 47.4 | 44.6 |
| Aidan Moon | - | 19 | 27.0 | 5.4 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 3.9 | 7.6 | -3 | -0.2 | -0.8 | 51.4 | 31.4 | 78.9 | 2.02 | 61.9 | 58.8 |
| Zavion McClendon | - | 15 | 10.6 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.4 | 4.3 | 8 | 0.5 | 23.6 | 51.0 | 53.3 | 92.3 | -0.81 | 70.5 | 66.7 |
| Imran Deen | - | 21 | 17.1 | 4.8 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 3.9 | 5.6 | -26 | -1.3 | -10.5 | 48.8 | 0.0 | 48.8 | 0.8 | 50.0 | 48.8 |
| Brandon Claerbaut | - | 1 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | -35 | -1.8 | -11.7 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.96 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Keane Hinkle | - | 20 | 14.6 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 14 | 0.7 | 5.8 | 35.6 | 31.8 | 50.0 | 0.34 | 45.5 | 45.2 |
| Jermaine Taggart | - | 11 | 11.6 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 11 | 1.0 | 13.5 | 40.6 | 25.0 | 77.8 | 1.11 | 48.7 | 43.8 |
| Myron Brewer | - | 4 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Bernie Varnesdeel | - | 11 | 7.7 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 21 | 2.1 | 36.0 | 30.0 | 33.3 | 20.0 | -1.21 | 32.8 | 35.0 |
| Owen Hardy | - | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -23 | -1.2 | -6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG