Dartmouth Big Green
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
51.0
PPG
48.0
Opp
+3.0
Margin
31.8%
FG%
28.2%
3P%
63.0%
FT%
36.7
RPG
11.3
APG
13.3
TO
65.6
Est. poss./game
52.2
Adj PPG
53.3
Adj Opp PPG
#233
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 830 (#271) | Preseason prior 790 (returning production + recruiting): last season 858, returning -18, transfers -51, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 882 (#266) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 885 (#266) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.1 (#256) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.1 (#256) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.334 (#193) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.372 (#213) | AdjNet +0.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.371 (#215) | AdjNet +0.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.371 (#233) | AdjO 52.2 | AdjD 53.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.373 (#233) | AdjO 52.2 | AdjD 53.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.354 (#230) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.354 (#230) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 900 (#246) | RD 178 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.292 (#246) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Boston University Terriers | W | 56 - 49 |
| 2026-11-05 | @ | Holy Cross Crusaders | L | 46 - 49 |
| 2026-11-11 | vs | New Hampshire Wildcats | W | 51 - 46 |
| 2026-11-14 | vs | NJIT Highlanders | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-11-16 | vs | Colby Sawyer Chargers | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zeynep Ozel
|
G | 3 | 32.0 | 10.3 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 11.7 | 4.7 | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 28.6 | 36.8 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 41.2 | 38.6 |
Alexandra Eldredge
|
G | 3 | 29.7 | 9.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 13.0 | -0.3 | -2 | 3 | -0.7 | -0.9 | 28.2 | 27.3 | 0 | -3.3 | 35.9 | 35.9 |
Tahira Muhammad
|
G | 3 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 10 | 3 | 3.3 | 7.5 | 42.9 | 45.5 | 100.0 | -0.42 | 66.6 | 60.7 |
Cate MacDonald
|
F | 3 | 29.3 | 6.7 | 8.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 11.7 | 4.7 | 10 | 3 | 3.3 | 4.6 | 22.9 | 9.1 | 60.0 | 1.93 | 26.9 | 24.3 |
Peyton Hoblock
|
F | 3 | 20.0 | 6.3 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 4.7 | 6.0 | 20 | 3 | 6.7 | 13.3 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 62.5 | 2.33 | 54.2 | 50.0 |
Olivia Austin
|
F | 3 | 30.3 | 6.0 | 8.7 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 7.0 | 8.3 | -12 | 3 | -4.0 | -5.3 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 0 | -4.86 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
Sierra Carson
|
G | 3 | 29.0 | 5.3 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 6.3 | 5.0 | 11 | 3 | 3.7 | 5.0 | 31.6 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -1.55 | 40.2 | 39.5 |
Debra Hill
|
F | 3 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | -4 | 3 | -1.3 | -18.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.03 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Jacalyn Myrthil
|
G | 2 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -3.41 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Emma Olausson
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Anna Beischer
|
G | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.74 | 0 | 0 |
Izzy Cruz
|
G | 1 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7 | 1 | 7.0 | 33.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.44 | 0 | 0 |
Magda Freire
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Eve Jungman
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Maya Shifrin
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Yufei Zou
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
177 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Alexandra EldredgeZeynep OzelOlivia AustinCate MacDonaldTahira MuhammadSierra CarsonPeyton Hoblock
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 15-23 | 65.2 | 30 | Olivia Austin 33% (10 pts) | Cate MacDonald 20% (6 pts) | Cate MacDonald 38% (3 misses) | Sierra Carson 25% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 14-55 | 25.5 | 28 | Cate MacDonald 21% (6 pts) | Olivia Austin 21% (6 pts) | Cate MacDonald 27% (11 misses) | Olivia Austin 20% (8 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 1-7 | 14.3 | 2 | Zeynep Ozel 100% (2 pts) | - | Zeynep Ozel 50% (3 misses) | Alexandra Eldredge 17% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 4-7 | 57.1 | 8 | Peyton Hoblock 50% (4 pts) | Alexandra Eldredge 25% (2 pts) | Alexandra Eldredge 33% (1 misses) | Peyton Hoblock 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 2-9 | 22.2 | 4 | Cate MacDonald 50% (2 pts) | Yufei Zou 50% (2 pts) | Alexandra Eldredge 29% (2 misses) | Cate MacDonald 29% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 2-4 | 50.0 | 6 | Alexandra Eldredge 50% (3 pts) | Zeynep Ozel 50% (3 pts) | Sierra Carson 100% (2 misses) | - |
| Right corner 3 | 1-4 | 25.0 | 3 | Sierra Carson 100% (3 pts) | - | Olivia Austin 33% (1 misses) | Sierra Carson 33% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 8-28 | 28.6 | 24 | Zeynep Ozel 50% (12 pts) | Alexandra Eldredge 38% (9 pts) | Alexandra Eldredge 35% (7 misses) | Cate MacDonald 20% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 6-21 | 28.6 | 18 | Tahira Muhammad 50% (9 pts) | Zeynep Ozel 33% (6 pts) | Cate MacDonald 27% (4 misses) | Zeynep Ozel 20% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 5-19 | 26.3 | 15 | Alexandra Eldredge 40% (6 pts) | Tahira Muhammad 40% (6 pts) | Alexandra Eldredge 50% (7 misses) | Zeynep Ozel 21% (3 misses) |