Daemen
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1237 (#19) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1230 (#30) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1207 (#14) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.9 (#88) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +13.3 (#166) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.814 (#234) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.941 (#116) | NetEff +19.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.722 (#316) | AdjNet +8.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.731 (#315) | AdjNet +8.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.631 (#305) | AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 60.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.777 (#39) | AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 57.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.813 (#89) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.820 (#73) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1279 (#21) | RD 122 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Wilmington (DE) | W | 78 - 46 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Goldey-Beacom | W | 96 - 61 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Gannon | L | 50 - 57 |
| 2025-11-23 | vs | Chestnut Hill | W | 77 - 54 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Holy Family | W | 66 - 61 |
| 2025-12-05 | vs | Queens (NY) | W | 68 - 62 |
| 2025-12-07 | vs | Molloy | W | 78 - 66 |
| 2025-12-12 | @ | Mercy | W | 60 - 49 |
| 2025-12-14 | @ | St. Thomas Aquinas | W | 65 - 55 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Tex. A&M-Kingsville | W | 80 - 75 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Mont. St. Billings | L | 55 - 63 |
| 2026-01-01 | @ | Bentley | W | 75 - 62 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Franklin Pierce | W | 76 - 42 |
| 2026-01-11 | vs | Staten Island | W | 78 - 52 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Queens (NY) | W | 81 - 43 |
| 2026-01-18 | @ | Molloy | W | 73 - 60 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | D'Youville | W | 63 - 45 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Roberts Wesleyan | W | 86 - 49 |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | Dist. Columbia | W | 79 - 51 |
| 2026-02-08 | @ | Staten Island | L | 0 - 0 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Phelan | - | 1 | 39.0 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 5.0 | -138 | -6.0 | -23.7 | 35.3 | 35.7 | 100.0 | -1.4 | 54.6 | 50.0 |
| Kyra Rose | - | 1 | 43.0 | 18.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | -72 | -3.3 | -11.2 | 77.8 | 0 | 40.0 | -0.03 | 67.2 | 77.8 |
| Ne'vaeh Buntley | - | 18 | 28.3 | 15.8 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 13.5 | 9.2 | 231 | 11.6 | 66.4 | 42.4 | 31.8 | 70.8 | 2.94 | 51.9 | 48.1 |
| Calista Gaymon | - | 1 | 26.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 63.6 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 68.2 | 68.2 |
| Cecilia Lapertosa | - | 12 | 29.0 | 13.7 | 7.0 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 11.0 | 12.3 | 124 | 10.3 | 70.0 | 48.5 | 20.0 | 68.8 | -0.11 | 53.6 | 49.6 |
| Shonyae Edmonds | - | 1 | 45.0 | 13.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 11.0 | -120 | -6.0 | -23.2 | 42.9 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.89 | 43.7 | 42.9 |
| Claire Pikett | - | 18 | 28.2 | 12.8 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 10.8 | 11.6 | 236 | 11.8 | 64.4 | 38.7 | 30.0 | 69.1 | 2.93 | 50.1 | 44.8 |
| Sophie Auer | - | 18 | 27.5 | 9.8 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 8.1 | 7.2 | 256 | 12.8 | 79.3 | 50.3 | 32.6 | 73.9 | 4.35 | 57.1 | 55.2 |
| Racky Kane | - | 1 | 27.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | -86 | -4.5 | -18.6 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.8 | 56.2 | 56.2 |
| Shyla Montgomery | - | 17 | 21.7 | 8.2 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 174 | 9.7 | 66.9 | 43.8 | 44.4 | 45.5 | 1.43 | 47.5 | 46.9 |
| Le'Asia Todd | - | 1 | 29.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 21.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 58.1 | 66.7 |
| Arielle Barnes | - | 1 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | -63 | -2.9 | -12.7 | 42.9 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.16 | 45.7 | 42.9 |
| Dashani Coleman | - | 1 | 27.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | -5.0 | 2 | 0.4 | 4.8 | 28.6 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.06 | 44.4 | 35.7 |
| Shaima James Lewis | - | 1 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 135 | 6.1 | 40.2 | 60.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.64 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Kristian Harris | - | 1 | 33.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | -126 | -7.4 | -40.2 | 20.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -0.93 | 27.6 | 25.0 |
| Giuliana Dito | - | 1 | 34.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | -125 | -6.0 | -29.7 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 75.0 | 1.49 | 44.4 | 30.0 |
| Jalea Abrams | - | 3 | 13.5 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4.7 | 5.7 | 23 | 7.7 | 31.5 | 42.9 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 1.24 | 44.4 | 50.0 |
| Aliyah Eason | - | 1 | 31.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Julia Fontanillo | - | 16 | 17.6 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 5.2 | 107 | 5.9 | 46.7 | 42.9 | 28.6 | 71.4 | -1.68 | 52.6 | 49.0 |
| Joline Raposo | - | 18 | 16.5 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 145 | 7.2 | 62.5 | 29.5 | 22.9 | 64.3 | 0.59 | 37.4 | 34.6 |
| Brianna Caliri | - | 17 | 10.4 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 3.4 | 4.1 | 73 | 3.8 | 60.2 | 41.4 | 0 | 75.0 | 0.38 | 45.0 | 41.4 |
| Kaylee Marvin | - | 6 | 7.6 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 0.5 | 8.5 | 42.9 | 100.0 | 20.0 | 0.33 | 43.1 | 45.2 |
| Maya Johnson | - | 1 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 42 | 2.1 | 24.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | 2.63 | 38.7 | 33.3 |
| Reece Beaver | - | 12 | 7.4 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 45 | 3.2 | 54.5 | 35.7 | 22.2 | 87.5 | -0.26 | 49.2 | 42.9 |
| Morgan White | - | 12 | 9.2 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 13 | 0.9 | 12.7 | 28.1 | 16.7 | 100.0 | -0.32 | 39.4 | 31.2 |
| Kyleigh Chapman | - | 18 | 19.8 | 2.1 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 6.2 | 186 | 9.3 | 78.6 | 46.9 | 37.5 | 41.7 | 1.12 | 51.0 | 51.6 |
| Nhaikyia Smith | - | 1 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | -1.0 | 38 | 1.7 | 18.2 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.68 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Dorothy Wiese | - | 1 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -118 | -4.9 | -43.4 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.63 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Ariana Davis | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -27 | -4.5 | -179.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.22 | 0 | 0 |
| Myah Mckie | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -37 | -2.6 | -148.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 |
| Gemma Singer | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -66 | -4.4 | -70.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.36 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG