Daemen
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1311 (#7) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1413 (#2) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1247 (#3) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +19.4 (#41) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +16.1 (#87) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.925 (#115) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.990 (#92) | NetEff +41.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.890 (#148) | AdjNet +18.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.891 (#150) | AdjNet +17.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.762 (#162) | AdjO 78.7 | AdjD 65.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.792 (#22) | AdjO 78.6 | AdjD 63.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.887 (#15) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.880 (#12) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1405 (#5) | RD 122 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | @ | Lenoir-Rhyne | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-02 | @ | Alas. Anchorage | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Felician | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Saint Anselm | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Fairmont St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Charleston (WV) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | California (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Clarion | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-05 | vs | Queens (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-07 | vs | Molloy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-12 | @ | Mercy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-14 | @ | St. Thomas Aquinas | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Assumption | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Saint Michael's | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-01 | vs | Adelphi | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-05 | @ | Franklin Pierce | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-09 | vs | Dist. Columbia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-11 | vs | Staten Island | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Queens (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-18 | @ | Molloy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Gannon | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | D'Youville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Roberts Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | Dist. Columbia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-08 | @ | Staten Island | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur Roache | - | 1 | 33.0 | 18.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 13.0 | -47 | -3.9 | -33.4 | 57.1 | 66.7 | 0 | -1.88 | 64.3 | 64.3 |
| Zach Philipkoski | - | 23 | 32.5 | 17.7 | 7.2 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 11.5 | 17.0 | 242 | 10.5 | 43.2 | 50.2 | 40.0 | 90.7 | 1.81 | 66.3 | 60.4 |
| Benjamin Bill | - | 13 | 24.7 | 15.4 | 8.3 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 8.9 | 17.8 | 46 | 3.8 | 10.9 | 69.0 | 0.0 | 63.5 | -0.24 | 69.6 | 69.0 |
| Justin Hemphill | - | 23 | 31.2 | 11.7 | 8.3 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 3.6 | 10.0 | 15.1 | 235 | 10.2 | 44.7 | 46.1 | 31.0 | 59.2 | 4.33 | 51.2 | 48.9 |
| Justin Glover | - | 21 | 30.9 | 11.5 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 8.9 | 7.2 | 160 | 7.6 | 31.1 | 38.7 | 38.1 | 81.5 | -1.04 | 56.4 | 50.8 |
| Ryan Heath | - | 23 | 29.0 | 9.8 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 8.2 | 8.0 | 198 | 9.0 | 40.2 | 49.7 | 20.8 | 62.3 | 2.5 | 53.2 | 51.1 |
| Phil Nwugwo | - | 23 | 22.3 | 9.1 | 5.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 6.0 | 9.2 | 135 | 6.1 | 43.3 | 57.7 | 62.5 | 69.1 | 1.07 | 62.9 | 59.5 |
| Kevon Corley | - | 1 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | -62 | -4.8 | -77.5 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.19 | 54.9 | 33.3 |
| Michael Harrell | - | 1 | 35.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 18.0 | -106 | -8.8 | -75.9 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -4.9 | 51.4 | 42.9 |
| Oliver Spence | - | 1 | 24.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | -87 | -7.2 | -65.1 | 22.2 | 0 | 83.3 | -3.25 | 38.7 | 22.2 |
| David Pope | - | 1 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | -44 | -4.4 | -145.9 | 42.9 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.15 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Nakyhi Harris | - | 23 | 14.5 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 4.6 | 3.2 | 159 | 7.2 | 90.7 | 41.0 | 35.3 | 65.0 | 3.46 | 51.4 | 49.5 |
| Christopher Smith | - | 1 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | -31 | -6.2 | -58.1 | 66.7 | 0 | 33.3 | -1.74 | 57.9 | 66.7 |
| Jaiden Harrison | - | 23 | 13.1 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 89 | 3.9 | 37.1 | 36.7 | 31.5 | 63.6 | 0.02 | 47.4 | 46.1 |
| Ronnie Williams | - | 18 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 24 | 1.5 | 19.9 | 41.9 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 2.3 | 54.9 | 53.2 |
| Santana Sinvilcin | - | 17 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 8 | 0.6 | 36.4 | 55.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | -0.63 | 66.6 | 65.0 |
| Jackson Kulik | - | 17 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 1.5 | -5 | -0.3 | -5.2 | 44.4 | 38.5 | 100.0 | -2.93 | 63.3 | 58.3 |
| Jaymeir Goosby | - | 15 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 33.3 | 27.3 | 66.7 | -0.67 | 46.0 | 43.3 |
| Pat Rouse | - | 5 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2.4 | -1 | -0.2 | -44.4 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Ayden Harrison | - | 10 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 0.7 | 13.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 60.0 | - | 71.4 | 75.0 |
| Josh Haskell | - | 5 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Ivan Yhomby | - | 7 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 7 | 1.8 | 54.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Benjamin Guy | - | 9 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | -0.2 | -16 | -2.0 | -66.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Justin Minor | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -32 | -3.2 | -100.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.63 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG