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Denver Nuggets

Also known as: Denver Nuggets
Program History

Model Outputs

2002-2003
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 680 (#29) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 774 (#28) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +84 elo More โ†’ 868 (#29) HCA +84 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.9 More โ†’ -7.4 (#28) HCA +3.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ -7.8 (#28) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.254 (#28) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -7.9 More โ†’ 0.284 (#28) NetEff -7.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.4 More โ†’ 0.275 (#28) AdjNet -8.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.5 More โ†’ 0.274 (#28) AdjNet -8.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.2 | AdjD 89.6 More โ†’ 0.340 (#28) AdjO 82.2 | AdjD 89.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 86.7 | AdjD 93.5 More โ†’ 0.350 (#28) AdjO 86.7 | AdjD 93.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.259 (#29) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.261 (#29) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 248 | GP 82 More โ†’ 795 (#29) RD 248 | GP 82

2003 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2003-03-08 @ Miami Heat - Incomplete score
2003-03-09 @ Orlando Magic - Incomplete score
2003-03-11 vs Toronto Raptors - Incomplete score
2003-03-16 vs Oklahoma City Thunder - Incomplete score
2003-03-18 @ Utah Jazz - Incomplete score
2003-03-19 @ LA Clippers - Incomplete score
2003-03-21 @ Oklahoma City Thunder - Incomplete score
2003-03-22 vs Boston Celtics - Incomplete score
2003-03-24 vs Dallas Mavericks - Incomplete score
2003-03-26 vs Milwaukee Bucks - Incomplete score
2003-03-29 @ Houston Rockets - Incomplete score
2003-03-30 vs Washington Wizards - Incomplete score
2003-04-01 @ Phoenix Suns - Incomplete score
2003-04-02 vs New York Knicks - Incomplete score
2003-04-06 @ Golden State Warriors - Incomplete score
2003-04-08 vs Phoenix Suns - Incomplete score
2003-04-11 @ Sacramento Kings - Incomplete score
2003-04-12 vs LA Clippers - Incomplete score
2003-04-15 @ Los Angeles Lakers - Incomplete score
2003-04-16 vs Houston Rockets - Incomplete score

2003 Roster

No roster data available for this season.