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DBU

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: DBU
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1414 (#5) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1324 (#12) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1177 (#22) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +24.2 (#4) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +19.4 (#64) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.883 (#6) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +62.1 More → 0.999 (#25) NetEff +62.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +29.4 More → 0.968 (#3) AdjNet +29.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +28.2 More → 0.964 (#4) AdjNet +28.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 92.1 | AdjD 70.2 More → 0.880 (#3) AdjO 92.1 | AdjD 70.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 83.1 | AdjD 67.4 More → 0.807 (#16) AdjO 83.1 | AdjD 67.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.880 (#20) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.873 (#18) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 24 More → 1262 (#23) RD 98 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-01 @ Michigan Tech L 70 - 75
2025-11-02 @ Washburn L 77 - 89
2025-11-14 vs Colorado Mesa L 77 - 78
2025-11-15 vs Colo. Christian W 90 - 51
2025-11-20 @ Arkansas Tech W 80 - 67
2025-11-22 vs St. Edward's L 70 - 73
2025-11-28 vs Adams St. W 113 - 60
2025-11-29 vs Southern Ark. W 99 - 85
2025-12-06 @ Tex. A&M Int'l W 72 - 59
2025-12-11 vs St. Mary's (TX) W 73 - 67
2025-12-16 @ Rogers St. W 79 - 69
2025-12-17 vs Mo.-St. Louis W 81 - 77
2026-01-08 vs Sul Ross St. W 90 - 63
2026-01-10 vs Western N.M. W 74 - 62
2026-01-15 @ St. Mary's (TX) L 64 - 66
2026-01-17 @ St. Edward's W 75 - 68
2026-01-22 vs Midwestern St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 @ Eastern N.M. L 73 - 76
2026-01-31 @ West Tex. A&M W 86 - 84
2026-02-05 vs UT Tyler W 90 - 79
2026-02-07 vs Lubbock Christian W 80 - 75
2026-02-12 vs Okla. Christian W 94 - 69
2026-02-14 vs Cameron W 93 - 70
2026-02-17 @ UT Tyler W 60 - 58
2026-02-21 @ UT Dallas W 88 - 79
2026-02-26 vs Tex. A&M Int'l W 86 - 64
2026-02-28 vs Tex. A&M-Kingsville W 94 - 47
2026-03-05 vs Tex. A&M-Kingsville W 88 - 67
2026-03-07 vs St. Mary's (TX) W 82 - 64
2026-03-08 vs Eastern N.M. W 76 - 74
2026-03-14 vs Colorado Mesa W 99 - 66
2026-03-15 vs St. Edward's W 70 - 56
2026-03-17 vs Black Hills St. L 62 - 76

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Bishop Jones - 22 14.2 10.4 3.7 0.3 1.1 0.4 1.0 6.7 8.0 - - - - 53.7 100.0 53.1 - 55.8 54.1
Drew Calderon - 32 23.1 9.9 2.8 1.3 1.0 0.2 0.9 7.7 6.6 - - - - 37.0 36.8 73.3 - 55.7 51.2
Xavion Brown - 32 24.4 9.8 5.5 4.8 2.6 0.5 2.0 7.2 13.9 - - - - 59.5 25.0 33.3 - 56.0 59.7
Trevor Frank - 32 21.3 9.8 2.0 1.3 2.2 0.1 1.2 9.1 5.1 - - - - 35.3 28.7 80.0 - 49.0 45.2
TJ Thomas - 32 20.3 9.6 2.3 1.5 1.4 0.1 1.6 7.0 6.3 - - - - 44.0 36.2 73.2 - 59.0 55.1
Cody Stevens - 32 21.2 7.1 2.9 1.1 1.2 0.1 1.0 4.8 6.6 - - - - 46.5 40.0 84.9 - 63.6 58.7
Jackson McCabe - 32 14.9 6.2 4.2 0.6 0.8 0.5 1.0 4.7 6.6 - - - - 60.3 0.0 41.5 - 58.9 60.3
Justin Haire - 31 12.6 5.8 3.9 0.3 0.9 0.3 0.6 3.5 6.9 - - - - 57.3 9.1 79.1 - 64.5 57.7
Jaden Shelvin - 32 20.4 5.4 2.4 1.6 0.9 0.4 1.0 5.2 4.5 - - - - 41.2 26.1 63.3 - 48.5 46.7
AJ Borden - 32 17.2 4.4 3.1 2.6 0.7 0.1 1.8 3.7 5.5 - - - - 37.3 10.0 54.7 - 44.4 38.1
Junior Goodlet - 21 12.4 4.4 1.8 1.2 0.7 0.0 0.6 4.9 2.8 - - - - 39.2 18.8 58.8 - 42.5 40.7
Daniel Figueira - 23 4.5 2.9 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.1 2.7 0.9 - - - - 35.5 35.8 75.0 - 51.8 50.8
Braeden Pitts - 16 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.0 - - - - 53.8 50.0 85.7 - 77.7 73.1
Isaiah Dozier - 8 3.1 1.4 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.1 - - - - 71.4 0 50.0 - 69.8 71.4
Jerrin Canafax - 15 2.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG