D'Youville
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 911 (#454) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 850 (#495) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 900 (#529) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -4.5 (#300) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.5 (#378) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.287 (#445) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.211 (#272) | NetEff -11.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.215 (#541) | AdjNet -11.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.212 (#542) | AdjNet -11.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.302 (#557) | AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 83.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.436 (#412) | AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 76.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.376 (#414) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.380 (#416) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 810 (#450) | RD 116 | GP 19 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Goldey-Beacom | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Wilmington (DE) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Lake Erie | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Pitt.-Johnstown | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-23 | @ | Indiana (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Slippery Rock | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-05 | vs | Molloy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-07 | vs | Queens (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-12 | @ | St. Thomas Aquinas | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-14 | @ | Mercy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Saint Michael's | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-05 | @ | Frostburg St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-09 | vs | Staten Island | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-11 | vs | Dist. Columbia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Molloy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-18 | @ | Queens (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Daemen | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Roberts Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | Staten Island | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-08 | @ | Dist. Columbia | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Powell | - | 1 | 29.0 | 22.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 103 | 6.1 | 30.8 | 53.3 | 60.0 | 75.0 | -1.15 | 65.6 | 63.3 |
| Tre Hawkins | - | 1 | 37.0 | 19.0 | 16.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 23.0 | -55 | -2.6 | -18.4 | 14.3 | 50.0 | 82.4 | -1.68 | 44.2 | 17.9 |
| Jalen Robinson | - | 1 | 20.0 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 95 | 7.3 | 310.6 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | -1.0 | 62.9 | 55.0 |
| Elisha Warren | - | 17 | 31.9 | 16.5 | 6.9 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 10.5 | 14.6 | -10 | -0.6 | -4.4 | 47.2 | 36.5 | 82.0 | 1.4 | 63.3 | 55.9 |
| Justin Perez | - | 1 | 29.0 | 15.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | -27 | -1.3 | -8.1 | 62.5 | 60.0 | 50.0 | -0.11 | 76.8 | 81.2 |
| Justin Allen | - | 1 | 19.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 41 | 3.2 | 60.2 | 75.0 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 5.85 | 75.1 | 87.5 |
| Sean Reynolds | - | 17 | 31.3 | 13.9 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 10.6 | 7.6 | -25 | -1.4 | -12.4 | 44.8 | 43.7 | 80.0 | -0.96 | 61.7 | 59.9 |
| Dawson Matsell | - | 16 | 29.0 | 9.3 | 6.6 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 9.1 | 7.2 | -82 | -4.8 | -40.5 | 35.6 | 25.0 | 63.4 | -3.0 | 45.4 | 42.1 |
| Anthony Akande | - | 1 | 21.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 111 | 7.4 | 108.0 | 36.4 | 100.0 | 0 | 2.96 | 40.9 | 40.9 |
| Trayton Trice | - | 17 | 17.8 | 8.4 | 5.8 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 7.1 | 7.8 | 3 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 39.2 | 12.5 | 76.7 | 1.36 | 48.8 | 40.4 |
| Justin Moore | - | 9 | 24.6 | 7.9 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 8.9 | 2.8 | 9 | 0.9 | 23.1 | 32.5 | 11.1 | 75.0 | 1.11 | 39.2 | 33.1 |
| Maxence Massadila | - | 12 | 30.7 | 6.7 | 2.3 | 6.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 7.2 | 7.3 | -2 | -0.2 | -1.0 | 33.7 | 21.6 | 66.7 | 1.42 | 42.0 | 38.4 |
| Kevin Thompson | - | 10 | 14.1 | 6.7 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 4.8 | 4.1 | 18 | 1.6 | 21.5 | 41.7 | 41.2 | 81.2 | 1.89 | 60.9 | 56.2 |
| Nathan Andrice | - | 12 | 11.5 | 6.1 | 3.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4.9 | 4.8 | -16 | -1.2 | -22.0 | 50.8 | 0.0 | 72.2 | -0.8 | 54.5 | 50.8 |
| Julian Williams | - | 1 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 70 | 4.4 | 50.9 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.59 | 77.3 | 66.7 |
| Marko Milivojevic | - | 13 | 17.4 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 4.0 | 8.1 | -35 | -2.7 | -26.6 | 59.6 | 20.0 | 81.8 | -1.55 | 63.3 | 60.6 |
| LaShard Lowry Jr | - | 17 | 15.8 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.4 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 28.3 | 29.0 | 69.7 | - | 39.4 | 33.2 |
| Lucus Brown | - | 16 | 15.6 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.6 | 3.5 | -48 | -2.8 | -88.7 | 36.2 | 34.2 | 75.0 | -1.72 | 49.6 | 47.4 |
| Exzavia Robertson | - | 2 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 16 | 0.9 | 8.8 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.9 | 59.5 | 60.0 |
| Isaac White | - | 1 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Zavion Bianchini | - | 1 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.17 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Dut Kuol | - | 5 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.35 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Adrian Vazquez | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG