Crown College Polars
Model Outputs
2021-2022
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 925 (#623) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 867 (#711) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 994 (#386) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -4.5 (#558) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.7 (#459) | HCA +2.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.475 (#357) | AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 68.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.333 (#441) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.354 (#438) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 895 (#487) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-12-02 | @ | St. Thomas - Minnesota Tommies | L | 53 - 73 |
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
C. Neubert
|
- | 1 | 17.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
J. Van Dam
|
- | 1 | 24.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
S. Royston
|
F | 1 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
C. Oldenettel
|
- | 1 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
A. Testerman
|
- | 1 | 32.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
C. Andersen
|
- | 1 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
M. Ladd
|
- | 1 | 30.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
C. Carroll
|
- | 1 | 30.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.22 | 0 | 0 |
C. Behne
|
- | 1 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
D. Gilmer
|
- | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
D. Burnett
|
- | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG