Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 981 (#229) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 930 (#386) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 981 (#393) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -39.7 (#594) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.001 (#724) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.008 (#747) | AdjNet -41.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.007 (#747) | AdjNet -41.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.023 (#764) | AdjO 76.2 | AdjD 117.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.308 (#539) | AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 83.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.118 (#574) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.150 (#567) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 899 (#364) | RD 340 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Ownby | - | 1 | 17.2 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 40.0 | 100.0 | - | 73.5 | 70.0 |
| AJ Murphy | - | 1 | 17.2 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | -14 | -2.3 | -69.4 | 85.7 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.01 | 94.1 | 92.9 |
| Wesley Johnson | - | 1 | 12.2 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | -24 | -1.1 | -6.4 | 85.7 | 0 | 0 | 4.7 | 85.7 | 85.7 |
| TJ Printup | - | 1 | 14.3 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | -36 | -1.6 | -7.1 | 85.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.23 | 85.7 | 85.7 |
| Jeremiah Wilson | - | 1 | 14.3 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | -10 | -0.6 | -7.9 | 83.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 2.04 | 91.7 | 91.7 |
| Malachi Hale | - | 1 | 8.5 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 34 | 1.4 | 13.8 | 80.0 | 66.7 | 0 | 1.04 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| J3 Swindell | - | 1 | 14.4 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | -60 | -3.5 | -38.7 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.56 | 72.7 | 66.7 |
| Taj Kimber | - | 1 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 33 | 2.2 | 25.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.48 | 58.1 | 50.0 |
| Damjan Vukčević | - | 1 | 10.6 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | -120 | -4.0 | -43.2 | 60.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.2 | 59.2 | 60.0 |
| Lorenzo Sedita | - | 1 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 51.0 | 40.0 |
| Jordan Attia | - | 1 | 12.7 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | -17 | -0.8 | -4.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.97 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Amari Allen | - | 1 | 8.5 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | -22 | -3.1 | -6.7 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Bryce Jackson | - | 1 | 14.3 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | -22 | -0.9 | -4.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.71 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Johny Mathiang | - | 1 | 11.9 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Denaj Kimber | - | 1 | 13.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -47 | -3.1 | -27.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.17 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jai'Den Davis | - | 1 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 24 | 1.3 | 10.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.54 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG