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Crown (MN)

Season: 2026 2024
Also known as: Crown (MN)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 940 (#368) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 995 (#308) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -9.0 (#453) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.017 (#616) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -13.5 More → 0.175 (#565) AdjNet -13.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.1 More → 0.176 (#566) AdjNet -13.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.0 | AdjD 94.0 More → 0.235 (#602) AdjO 81.0 | AdjD 94.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.0 | AdjD 79.7 More → 0.416 (#443) AdjO 76.0 | AdjD 79.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.322 (#444) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.348 (#431) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 931 (#298) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-18 @ Minnesota St. L 74 - 106

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Colby Deluce - 1 18.8 16.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 10.0 - - - 66.7 100.0 50.0 - 81.0 83.3
Tristan Youngblood - 1 23.1 14.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 8.0 - - - 55.6 50.0 0.0 - 74.2 77.8
PJ Ebeling - 1 15.0 9.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 9.0 - - - 44.4 0.0 100.0 - 47.7 44.4
Joe Sullivan - 1 17.2 9.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 6.0 49 2.1 9.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 -1.16 116.0 116.7
Donovan Washington - 1 22.4 7.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 4.0 -36 -4.5 -143.0 28.6 0.0 75.0 -1.43 40.0 28.6
Elliot Offner - 1 13.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 100.0 - 123.0 125.0
Noah Ahooja - 1 14.2 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 - - - 100.0 0 100.0 - 106.4 100.0
Ian McFaggen - 1 12.2 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 -1.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Codey Root - 1 7.2 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Tyler Smith - 1 8.6 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 135 7.1 88.3 50.0 0 0 1.01 50.0 50.0
Jackson DiBona - 1 19.6 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 -8.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 5.1 0.0
Anthony Knight - 1 8.6 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Jonathan Larose - 1 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Cade Roelofs - 1 18.1 0.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG