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Crowley's Ridge

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2016 2015
Also known as: Crowley's Ridge
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 929 (#365) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 873 (#489) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 942 (#576) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -39.1 (#693) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.215 (#576) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -37.4 More → 0.005 (#564) NetEff -37.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -27.2 More → 0.041 (#614) AdjNet -27.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -27.5 More → 0.037 (#613) AdjNet -27.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 80.1 More → 0.152 (#626) AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 80.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 54.5 | AdjD 69.3 More → 0.207 (#664) AdjO 54.5 | AdjD 69.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.065 (#681) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.083 (#676) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 246 | GP 2 More → 776 (#500) RD 246 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-20 @ Lyon L 53 - 92
2025-12-30 vs Hendrix L 55 - 80

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kyrsten Bake - 1 27.0 16.0 11.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 20.0 - - - 42.9 66.7 80.0 - 70.2 57.1
Sara McCain - 1 24.0 13.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 7.0 10.0 - - - 85.7 0 50.0 - 82.5 85.7
Kiyuana Foster - 1 29.7 11.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 10.0 14.0 -4.0 - - - 28.6 25.0 100.0 - 37.0 32.1
Skylar Rhodes - 2 25.1 10.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 7.5 3.5 - - - 46.7 50.0 100.0 - 63.0 60.0
Mallory Welch - 2 36.4 7.5 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 3.5 9.0 -1.0 - - - 16.7 20.0 66.7 - 34.2 25.0
Shadarriana Stewart - 1 26.9 6.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 -1.0 - - - 37.5 0.0 0 - 37.5 37.5
Emily Bake - 1 18.0 6.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 6.0 - - - 42.9 0 0.0 - 40.3 42.9
Brooklyn Kearbey - 1 14.9 5.0 9.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 8.0 - - - 16.7 25.0 100.0 - 36.3 25.0
Lakiya Scott - 1 19.5 5.0 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 9.0 -17 -0.8 -6.0 0.0 0.0 62.5 -1.01 29.3 0.0
Brailey Houseman - 1 31.0 4.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 8.0 -3.0 - - - 12.5 33.3 50.0 - 22.5 18.8
Madison Prysock - 1 27.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 -3.0 - - - 16.7 20.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Faith Muntz - 1 12.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 34.7 0.0
Makayla Herndon - 2 23.4 1.0 3.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 2.5 2.5 -0.5 - - - 20.0 0.0 0 - 20.0 20.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG