Crowley's Ridge
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 987 (#297) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 939 (#370) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 980 (#497) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -31.9 (#655) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.002 (#664) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.013 (#693) | AdjNet -37.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.011 (#695) | AdjNet -36.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.127 (#666) | AdjO 55.0 | AdjD 76.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.357 (#573) | AdjO 58.3 | AdjD 64.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.074 (#668) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.095 (#666) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 920 (#349) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-14 | @ | Ark.-Monticello | L | 61 - 85 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reigiana Ward | - | 1 | 32.0 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 8.0 | -55 | -7.9 | -14.2 | 45.5 | 50.0 | 75.0 | -0.56 | 62.7 | 59.1 |
| Ansley Dawson | - | 1 | 16.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 27.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 41.7 | 27.3 |
| Hunter Gibson | - | 1 | 31.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 43.7 | 45.5 |
| Makayla Herndon | - | 1 | 21.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 66.7 | - | 54.6 | 50.0 |
| Brinley Morgan | - | 1 | 31.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 50.9 | 41.7 |
| Travia Woodruff | - | 1 | 28.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | - | 26.8 | 25.0 |
| Marlena Hipsher | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Taylor Hall | - | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Braylen Morgan | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Shadarriana Stewart | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kylan Stevens | - | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Tori Sutherland | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Hydiyah Robinson | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -27 | -2.5 | -2.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.39 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Rasmussen | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG