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Creighton

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Creighton Bluejays, Creighton
Program History
Coach: Greg McDermott

2021 Team Stats (31 games)

76.0
PPG
68.2
Opp
+7.7
Margin
47.2%
FG%
36.1%
3P%
64.0%
FT%
35.7
RPG
15.6
APG
11.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
78.2
Adj PPG
64.2
Adj Opp PPG
#20
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2020-2021
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1316 (#29) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1208 (#29) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +66 elo More → 1105 (#33) HCA +66 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.9 More → +16.1 (#19) HCA +1.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.0 More → +14.3 (#27) HCA +2.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.775 (#36) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.4 More → 0.913 (#25) AdjNet +20.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +20.6 More → 0.915 (#25) AdjNet +20.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.2 | AdjD 64.2 More → 0.781 (#20) AdjO 78.2 | AdjD 64.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 64.4 More → 0.668 (#35) AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 64.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.813 (#22) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.796 (#24) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 31 More → 1227 (#22) RD 96 | GP 31

2021 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2020-11-29 vs North Dakota State Bison W 69 - 58
2020-12-01 vs Omaha Mavericks W 94 - 67
2020-12-04 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 93 - 58
2020-12-08 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 72 - 73
2020-12-11 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 98 - 74
2020-12-14 vs Marquette Golden Eagles L 84 - 89
2020-12-17 @ St. John's Red Storm W 94 - 76
2020-12-20 @ UConn Huskies W 76 - 74
2020-12-23 vs Xavier Musketeers W 66 - 61
2021-01-02 @ Providence Friars W 67 - 65
2021-01-06 vs Seton Hall Pirates W 89 - 53
2021-01-09 vs St. John's Red Storm W 97 - 79
2021-01-16 @ Butler Bulldogs L 66 - 70
2021-01-20 vs Providence Friars L 70 - 74
2021-01-23 vs UConn Huskies W 74 - 66
2021-01-27 @ Seton Hall Pirates W 85 - 81
2021-01-30 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 69 - 62
2021-02-03 vs Georgetown Hoyas L 79 - 86
2021-02-06 @ Marquette Golden Eagles W 71 - 68
2021-02-09 @ Georgetown Hoyas W 63 - 48
2021-02-13 vs Villanova Wildcats W 86 - 70
2021-02-24 vs DePaul Blue Demons W 77 - 53
2021-02-27 @ Xavier Musketeers L 69 - 77
2021-03-03 @ Villanova Wildcats L 60 - 72
2021-03-06 vs Butler Bulldogs W 93 - 73
2021-03-11 vs Butler Bulldogs W 87 - 56
2021-03-12 vs UConn Huskies W 59 - 56
2021-03-13 vs Georgetown Hoyas L 48 - 73
2021-03-20 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 63 - 62
2021-03-22 vs Ohio Bobcats W 72 - 58
2021-03-28 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 65 - 83

2021 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Marcus Zegarowski Marcus Zegarowski G 29 33.6 15.8 3.6 4.3 1.3 0.1 2.1 12.0 10.9 205 26 7.9 9.4 46.4 42.1 78.6 0.44 60.4 57.9
Denzel Mahoney Denzel Mahoney G 30 30.8 12.5 4.1 1.7 1.3 0.1 1.3 11.6 6.8 213 27 7.9 10.3 36.2 32.5 72.8 2.35 48.9 45.4
Damien Jefferson Damien Jefferson F 31 30.9 11.9 5.4 2.4 1.2 0.3 1.9 9.1 10.3 220 28 7.9 10.2 51.2 34.8 60.5 2.85 58.3 56.9
Christian Bishop Christian Bishop F 31 23.4 11.0 6.4 1.2 0.7 1.0 1.7 6.7 12.0 132 28 4.7 8.2 68.1 25.0 56.2 0.43 67.5 68.4
Mitchell Ballock Mitchell Ballock G 31 33.6 9.9 3.2 2.6 0.9 0.2 1.1 8.2 7.6 233 28 8.3 10.0 43.5 38.6 57.1 2.39 58.7 58.5
Ryan Kalkbrenner Ryan Kalkbrenner - 31 13.8 5.9 3.5 0.3 0.2 1.2 0.5 4.0 6.6 134 28 4.8 14.1 64.5 0.0 48.9 1.71 63.3 64.5
Alex O'Connell Alex O'Connell - 24 9.7 3.4 2.2 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.4 3.5 2.6 73 21 3.5 13.7 38.1 31.7 62.5 2.58 46.8 45.8
Antwann Jones Antwann Jones G 30 10.9 3.4 2.2 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.7 3.0 3.6 101 27 3.7 13.1 37.4 32.4 68.8 1.7 48.5 44.0
Shereef Mitchell Shereef Mitchell G 30 14.4 3.3 1.4 1.5 0.7 0.0 0.7 2.7 3.6 123 27 4.6 12.8 42.7 36.4 73.9 0.28 53.7 50.0
Jacob Epperson Jacob Epperson C 16 4.2 1.1 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.2 1.1 2.1 0 15 0.0 0.0 33.3 33.3 37.5 -1.73 39.5 38.9
Nic Zeil Nic Zeil F 11 2.5 0.7 0.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.4 1.0 -15 10 -1.5 -23.6 50.0 50.0 75.0 -2.07 69.4 62.5
Sami Osmani Sami Osmani G 9 2.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.1 -14 8 -1.8 -28.2 33.3 0.0 0 -2.29 33.3 33.3
Andrew Merfeld Andrew Merfeld G 5 2.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 -4 5 -0.8 -17.2 50.0 0.0 0 -0.85 50.0 50.0
Devin Davis Devin Davis G 9 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 -0.3 -13 8 -1.6 -37.5 16.7 0.0 0 -2.48 16.7 16.7
Jett Canfield Jett Canfield G 15 4.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.3 -0.1 -28 14 -2.0 -16.8 25.0 0.0 0 -5.16 25.0 25.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG