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2021-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 18.1% 81.9% -
Bradley-Terry 25.7% 74.3% -
Margin 17.3% 82.7% +8.6 (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 39.7% 60.3% -
Efficiency 27.5% 72.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +18 (83-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Zegarowski * 34 7-16 3-7 2-2 3 2 1 0 2 19 7 -
M. Ballock * 32 2-9 1-7 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 5 0 -
D. Jefferson * 32 3-10 0-3 0-0 5 2 3 0 5 6 1 -
D. Mahoney * 31 6-13 1-5 0-2 5 1 0 0 0 13 6 -
C. Bishop * 21 6-9 0-0 0-2 5 3 1 0 3 12 9 -
S. Mitchell 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
R. Kalkbrenner 16 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 2 2 -
A. O'Connell 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Jones 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Canfield 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Epperson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
N. Zeil 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
S. Osmani 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Davis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Nembhard 36 7-9 3-5 0-0 4 8 0 0 1 17 19 -
J. Ayayi 34 5-13 3-10 0-0 8 1 0 0 2 13 7 -
C. Kispert 34 5-8 2-3 0-0 7 1 2 1 1 12 14 -
O. Ballo 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Harris 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Suggs * 34 3-7 0-2 3-3 5 6 2 0 6 9 9 -
D. Timme * 27 10-14 0-1 2-3 6 4 0 0 4 22 14 -
A. Watson 16 3-3 0-0 1-4 2 2 1 0 1 7 8 -
A. Cook 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
J. Strawther 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Gregg 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter