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Cortland

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Cortland
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1108 (#93) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1143 (#75) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1172 (#33) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +1.0 (#110) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +7.0 (#264) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.722 (#336) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.9 More → 0.446 (#378) AdjNet -1.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.1 More → 0.439 (#380) AdjNet -2.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 67.5 More → 0.456 (#388) AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 67.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.4 | AdjD 61.1 More → 0.770 (#48) AdjO 74.4 | AdjD 61.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.765 (#134) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.777 (#105) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 107 | GP 21 More → 1220 (#55) RD 107 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Rochester (NY) L 69 - 74
2025-11-13 vs Ithaca W 80 - 61
2025-11-15 @ Farmingdale St. W 79 - 78
2025-11-16 vs Saint Joseph (CT) W 61 - 57
2025-11-25 @ St. John Fisher W 99 - 74
2025-12-05 vs Oswego St. W 86 - 81
2025-12-06 vs SUNY Canton W 102 - 47
2025-12-28 vs Dubuque L 63 - 66
2025-12-29 @ Gustavus Adolphus L 51 - 58
2026-01-06 vs Fredonia W 70 - 51
2026-01-09 vs SUNY New Paltz W 78 - 48
2026-01-10 vs SUNY Oneonta L 75 - 79
2026-01-13 vs Buffalo St. W 69 - 51
2026-01-16 @ SUNY Potsdam W 65 - 55
2026-01-17 @ Plattsburgh St. W 61 - 56
2026-01-20 @ Fredonia L 0 - 0
2026-01-23 vs SUNY Morrisville W 99 - 73
2026-01-27 @ Buffalo St. W 80 - 54
2026-01-30 @ SUNY Oneonta W 74 - 60
2026-01-31 @ SUNY New Paltz W 68 - 58
2026-02-06 vs Plattsburgh St. W 81 - 62
2026-02-07 vs SUNY Potsdam W 104 - 41

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Reem Welch - 1 40.0 36.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 26.0 16.0 -60 -3.0 -7.6 50.0 57.1 100.0 1.32 62.8 57.7
Alex Hayes - 1 21.0 20.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 9.0 11.0 -60 -2.7 -17.2 66.7 80.0 80.0 -0.18 89.3 88.9
Cam LaClair - 1 38.0 19.0 6.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 16.0 11.0 81 3.9 16.5 43.8 0.0 55.6 1.9 47.6 43.8
Hobson Herlihy - 1 31.0 16.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 7.0 49 2.2 18.6 45.5 40.0 100.0 2.06 62.7 54.5
Max Schneider - 1 28.0 16.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 9.0 8.0 2 0.1 0.4 66.7 40.0 66.7 0.54 77.5 77.8
Kendall Arcuri - 13 30.9 14.6 7.3 2.8 0.9 0.5 1.2 10.5 14.5 97 7.5 23.8 49.6 46.9 77.4 4.16 63.1 60.6
Aaron Coston - 17 31.3 13.1 7.9 3.4 0.9 1.1 1.5 8.6 16.1 163 9.6 34.0 58.5 45.3 55.3 2.4 66.2 66.7
Martin Garza - 1 35.0 13.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 15.0 8.0 -85 -4.2 -17.3 33.3 14.3 40.0 1.12 37.8 36.7
Joel Davis - 17 28.6 10.1 7.2 2.0 0.9 1.3 3.1 9.1 9.5 128 7.5 31.0 40.9 31.4 66.7 4.01 49.5 46.1
Nicholas Cortez - 1 30.0 10.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 9.0 48 2.2 11.0 37.5 33.3 100.0 1.2 53.6 43.8
David McKnight Jr. - 1 21.0 10.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 5.0 -43 -2.3 -11.8 50.0 66.7 100.0 -0.72 72.7 66.7
Giovanni Schillaci - 1 8.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 -54 -2.7 -20.5 75.0 100.0 0 -1.54 112.5 112.5
Isaiah Austin - 9 25.2 8.4 3.1 1.8 0.9 0.0 1.3 7.9 5.0 55 4.2 24.4 33.8 31.5 84.6 3.33 49.5 45.8
Nolan Raymond - 10 21.9 8.4 2.6 1.9 0.8 0.0 1.5 7.7 4.5 51 3.6 24.0 37.7 38.5 73.3 -0.73 50.2 47.4
Kendrick Wilson - 5 24.8 8.2 2.0 2.8 2.0 0.0 1.6 6.6 6.8 -22 -3.1 -34.2 36.4 33.3 78.6 0.47 52.3 45.5
Kofo Laditan - 1 27.0 8.0 12.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 9.0 -34 -1.8 -13.6 44.4 0 0 -0.86 44.4 44.4
Sam Booth - 1 19.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 46 2.1 15.8 75.0 0 100.0 0.22 82.0 75.0
Mekhi Gidney - 1 13.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 4.0 -12 -0.6 -3.7 50.0 0.0 100.0 -1.46 58.1 50.0
Stevie Williams - 1 24.0 7.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 0.0 -155 -8.2 -33.1 27.3 33.3 0.0 1.29 29.5 31.8
Dexter Brooks - 1 31.0 6.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 10.0 -26 -2.4 -12.8 40.0 0 100.0 1.03 51.0 40.0
Xavier Leveille - 10 17.0 5.8 2.8 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 5.0 3.9 61 4.4 33.7 36.0 35.1 64.3 -1.21 51.6 49.0
Colin Hartig - 1 33.0 5.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 8.0 -3 -0.1 -0.8 40.0 33.3 0 0.81 50.0 50.0
Gaige Armbrewster - 17 22.1 4.2 2.7 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.8 2.5 5.9 179 10.5 45.0 48.8 28.6 80.0 4.93 64.1 55.8
Mark MacDonald - 1 13.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 -103 -5.4 -45.7 50.0 0 0 -2.43 50.0 50.0
Frederick Graewert - 1 4.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 -12 -1.7 -70.6 50.0 50.0 50.0 -0.93 69.4 75.0
Jonathan McCaffrey - 1 26.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 7.0 -2 -0.1 -0.4 25.0 0 100.0 0.51 41.0 25.0
Maximus Michalski - 1 25.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 -3.0 8 0.4 1.7 28.6 0 0.0 -0.51 25.4 28.6
Gavyn Pacheco - 14 12.0 3.7 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.9 3.7 1.9 57 3.8 27.5 34.6 24.1 69.2 -0.13 45.0 41.3
Kyler Proper - 1 9.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 -21 -1.2 -12.0 50.0 0 50.0 -2.56 52.1 50.0
Chris McDonald - 15 9.6 2.7 3.2 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.4 2.1 4.5 46 2.9 33.5 41.9 27.3 66.7 0.81 52.7 46.8
Jason Douglas - 1 10.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -2.0 -93 -5.2 -48.4 25.0 0 0 -4.03 25.0 25.0
Ethan Sokolowski - 1 19.0 2.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 5.0 -33 -2.4 -7.2 25.0 0.0 0 1.54 25.0 25.0
Christian Daley - 1 5.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Louis Fay - 1 19.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 36 1.8 12.4 33.3 0 0 -0.25 33.3 33.3
Andrew Violante - 1 14.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 -6 -0.3 -1.3 33.3 0.0 0 -1.69 33.3 33.3
Joe Evangelista - 8 3.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 0.6 1 0.1 2.9 45.5 44.4 0 -0.26 63.6 63.6
John Roggendorf - 4 2.8 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 1.8 -5 -1.7 -28.2 60.0 0.0 0 -0.7 60.0 60.0
Dahmarion Moses - 5 3.9 1.2 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.6 1.0 13 1.9 46.2 37.5 0.0 0 -0.28 37.5 37.5
Jordan Cador - 3 2.4 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.0 3 1.5 29.5 50.0 0 0 0.51 50.0 50.0
Jesse Roggendorf - 8 2.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.9 -4 -0.5 -12.6 33.3 0.0 50.0 -0.75 36.3 33.3
Carlos Almanzar - 1 18.0 0.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 5 0.2 4.0 0 0 0 -2.66 0 0
Delano Knox - 1 17.0 0.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 119 6.0 24.4 0.0 0 0 2.1 0.0 0.0
Deion Mitchell-Murray - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 34 1.7 20.3 0 0 0 0.49 0 0
Alex Girich - 1 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -23 -1.9 -37.3 0.0 0 0 -1.35 0.0 0.0
Jack Janes - 1 10.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 -2.0 -40 -1.8 -11.9 0.0 0 0 -2.44 0.0 0.0
Carson Kwiatkowski - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -15 -1.1 -16.7 0.0 0.0 0 -2.34 0.0 0.0
Shawn Minnehan - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kurt Redeker - 1 9.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 20 1.4 16.2 0 0 0.0 -1.3 0.0 0
Federico Chiappa - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Pierre Hajjar - 1 2.2 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 7 1.8 126.3 0 0 0 0.47 0 0
Aidan McGuire - 1 10.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 -31 -1.7 -14.7 0.0 0.0 0 0.15 0.0 0.0
Matty Stolfo - 1 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2.0 -11 -1.2 -14.7 0.0 0.0 0 0.22 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG