Cornell
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1008 (#234) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1027 (#284) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1022 (#296) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1041 (#208) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.0 (#205) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.2 (#371) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#9) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.380 (#506) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#4) | NetEff +107.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.855 (#238) | AdjNet +15.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.293 (#452) | AdjNet -7.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.927 (#193) | AdjNet +19.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.285 (#453) | AdjNet -7.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.795 (#181) | AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 61.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.373 (#459) | AdjO 55.5 | AdjD 61.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.639 (#188) | AdjO 60.3 | AdjD 54.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.546 (#344) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.568 (#324) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1050 (#254) | RD 103 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Coe | L | 40 - 59 |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Rockford | W | 56 - 34 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | W | 62 - 48 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Dubuque | W | 61 - 52 |
| 2025-12-02 | @ | Grinnell | L | 50 - 62 |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | North Central (MN) | L | 58 - 62 |
| 2025-12-12 | vs | Marian (WI) | W | 81 - 38 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Luther | W | 73 - 68 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Lake Forest | W | 63 - 33 |
| 2026-01-13 | vs | SUNY Delhi | W | 106 - 27 |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Knox | W | 69 - 63 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Illinois Col. | W | 64 - 57 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Beloit | W | 63 - 49 |
| 2026-01-27 | @ | Monmouth (IL) | W | 75 - 50 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Lake Forest | W | 53 - 49 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Knox | L | 55 - 62 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Lawrence | L | 39 - 56 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ally Pape | - | 1 | 26.8 | 24.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 57.1 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Erin Knowles | - | 16 | 32.0 | 20.6 | 7.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3.2 | 15.5 | 13.2 | -74 | -3.7 | -14.4 | 45.2 | 26.1 | 75.0 | -0.14 | 54.4 | 47.6 |
| Ashley Childers | - | 1 | 24.6 | 16.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | - | - | - | 58.3 | 33.3 | 50.0 | - | 62.1 | 62.5 |
| Alana Andrews | - | 1 | 22.1 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | - | - | - | 53.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 52.1 | 53.8 |
| Grace Renners | - | 1 | 19.3 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 40.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Audrey Chen | - | 1 | 14.4 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | - | 85.0 | 80.0 |
| Willa Chinn | - | 1 | 31.8 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 26.7 | 16.7 | 0 | - | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Heidi Jorgensen | - | 16 | 29.6 | 8.9 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 10.0 | 3.7 | -5 | -0.2 | -1.1 | 28.7 | 21.4 | 77.4 | -0.65 | 41.2 | 37.2 |
| Vivienne Knee | - | 1 | 31.8 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 45.7 | 28.6 |
| Kallynn Stroup | - | 16 | 19.5 | 7.9 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 6.6 | 6.2 | 6 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 43.8 | 15.4 | 69.6 | 1.25 | 50.3 | 44.8 |
| Darby Haley | - | 16 | 18.7 | 6.2 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 5.4 | 3.2 | 4 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 36.0 | 31.1 | 73.1 | -0.88 | 51.3 | 47.1 |
| Paige Engels | - | 1 | 5.8 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 125.0 | 125.0 |
| Caroline Kron | - | 16 | 24.4 | 4.8 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 4.8 | 5.3 | -47 | -2.4 | -12.8 | 35.5 | 32.0 | 70.0 | -1.0 | 47.9 | 46.1 |
| Rachel Kaus | - | 1 | 5.8 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Maggie Thompson | - | 16 | 14.2 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 3.1 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 40.9 | 50.0 | 60.0 | -1.77 | 46.4 | 43.2 |
| Savanna Robinson | - | 16 | 12.5 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3.6 | 22 | 1.1 | 10.3 | 30.3 | 9.1 | 77.8 | 1.99 | 42.8 | 31.8 |
| Hailey Testolin | - | 15 | 9.2 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.9 | 0.3 | -22 | -1.2 | -17.5 | 25.6 | 20.0 | 50.0 | -1.17 | 34.0 | 32.6 |
| Clarke Jackson | - | 1 | 5.8 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | -32 | -1.5 | -16.1 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -2.51 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Emily Pape | - | 1 | 5.8 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Kiley Edris | - | 16 | 15.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 23 | 1.1 | 9.0 | 27.8 | 10.0 | 68.8 | -0.62 | 43.9 | 30.6 |
| Maya Hodge | - | 16 | 7.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 16 | 0.8 | 18.9 | 33.3 | 14.3 | 57.1 | -0.93 | 39.5 | 35.7 |
| Ashlin Nottestad | - | 4 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 24 | 4.0 | 374.0 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.14 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Rylee VanDresar | - | 10 | 5.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 0.2 | 5.1 | 25.0 | 14.3 | 0 | -1.03 | 29.2 | 29.2 |
| Mya Janssen | - | 11 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 41 | 2.9 | 78.2 | 40.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.01 | 59.2 | 40.0 |
| Liann Ang | - | 5 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 21 | 3.0 | 327.3 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.14 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Bradie Buffington | - | 8 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 13 | 1.2 | 111.8 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -1.21 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Penley Park | - | 16 | 9.8 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.5 | -12 | -0.6 | -14.1 | 23.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.41 | 21.6 | 23.1 |
| Akoi Atem | - | 4 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | -0.8 | 6 | 1.2 | 150.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.56 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kelsey Langston | - | 1 | 5.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Gracie Park | - | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -3 | -3.0 | -133.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.58 | 0 | 0 |
| Adriana Jelle | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG