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Concordia Texas Tornados

Season: 2022 2006 2005
Also known as: Concordia Texas Tornados
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1025 (#257) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1046 (#284) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 1003 (#185) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +17.7 (#259) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +1.4 (#332) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 69.3 More → 0.501 (#233) AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 69.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.534 (#293) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.523 (#283) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1054 (#182) RD 350 | GP 1

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-16 @ Incarnate Word Cardinals W 82 - 78

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Alexander Estrada Alexander Estrada G 1 21.0 16.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 21.0 - - - 0 0 0 1.39 0 0
Luis Gonzalez Luis Gonzalez G 1 26.0 16.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 20.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Antoine Henderson Antoine Henderson F 1 26.0 16.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 20.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.14 0 0
Trevon Hester Trevon Hester G 1 28.0 15.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 16.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.1 0 0
Sunny Ozoh Sunny Ozoh C 1 7.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Spencer Bone Spencer Bone F 1 24.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Cameron Jones Cameron Jones G 1 18.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 -60 -3.0 -4.3 0 0 0 -0.55 0 0
Bobby Espericueta Bobby Espericueta G 1 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Sean Phillips Sean Phillips ATH 1 20.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 7.0 190 5.1 7.4 0 0 0 1.28 0 0
Zaid Harris Zaid Harris G 1 11.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Dylen Scales Dylen Scales G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Dennis Pigford Dennis Pigford G 1 10.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Donovan Stafford Donovan Stafford G 1 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Sean Phillios Sean Phillios G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jaden Ross Jaden Ross F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 31 1.1 1.3 - - - 0.31 - -
Tige Johnson Tige Johnson F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 19 1.5 15.1 - - - 0.17 - -
Grant Goosby Grant Goosby F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Damian Garcia Damian Garcia F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -21 -1.3 -2.6 - - - -0.51 - -
Caleb Elsey Caleb Elsey C 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG