Concordia (MI)
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 908 (#396) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 908 (#458) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 920 (#591) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.4 (#221) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.3 (#480) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#87) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.246 (#563) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.982 (#136) | AdjNet +34.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.284 (#457) | AdjNet -8.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.984 (#133) | AdjNet +33.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.273 (#456) | AdjNet -8.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.809 (#169) | AdjO 64.2 | AdjD 48.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.370 (#461) | AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 68.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.371 (#564) | AdjO 59.2 | AdjD 65.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.263 (#557) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.280 (#547) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 873 (#439) | RD 77 | GP 53 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | @ | Northern Mich. | L | 37 - 98 |
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Franklin | L | 26 - 85 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Carthage | L | 46 - 65 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Whitman | L | 55 - 67 |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | North Central (IL) | L | 50 - 73 |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Wis.-Oshkosh | L | 30 - 71 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | St. Mary's (IN) | L | 69 - 78 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Albion | L | 84 - 88 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | North Central (MN) | L | 54 - 60 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Linfield | L | 65 - 73 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Greenville | W | 56 - 48 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | East Tex. Baptist | L | 61 - 82 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | St. Catherine | L | 49 - 52 |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Houston Christian | L | 57 - 77 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Lake Forest | W | 74 - 62 |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | North Central (IL) | L | 59 - 70 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Mary Hardin-Baylor | W | 58 - 56 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Marian (WI) | W | 90 - 65 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Trinity (TX) | L | 57 - 111 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Edgewood | L | 57 - 80 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | MSOE | L | 32 - 61 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Rockford | W | 61 - 45 |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Dominican (IL) | W | 66 - 55 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Dallas Christian | W | 68 - 41 |
| 2025-12-15 | vs | Edgewood | L | 50 - 56 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Lewis | L | 32 - 94 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Southwestern (TX) | L | 61 - 72 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Judson (IL) | W | 71 - 61 |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | Wis.-Stevens Point | L | 48 - 61 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Simpson | L | 68 - 71 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Wartburg | L | 40 - 53 |
| 2025-12-31 | vs | Anderson (IN) | L | 52 - 57 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | St. Norbert | L | 48 - 58 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Wis. Lutheran | L | 57 - 89 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Rockford | W | 68 - 54 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Benedictine (IL) | W | 70 - 62 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Wis. Lutheran | L | 45 - 58 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | MSOE | L | 66 - 83 |
| 2026-01-11 | vs | Ozarks (AR) | W | 87 - 74 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Illinois Tech | W | 74 - 56 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Aurora | L | 59 - 70 |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | McMurry | L | 58 - 66 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Lakeland | W | 83 - 66 |
| 2026-01-18 | vs | Schreiner | W | 74 - 63 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Centenary (LA) | L | 62 - 63 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Colorado Col. | L | 72 - 79 |
| 2026-02-01 | vs | St. Thomas (TX) | L | 55 - 72 |
| 2026-02-03 | @ | LeTourneau | W | 83 - 51 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Dallas | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2026-02-08 | vs | Austin | L | 0 - 0 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ai Yonemura | - | 17 | 29.0 | 15.9 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 3.1 | 14.6 | 7.5 | -79 | -3.8 | -21.8 | 40.3 | 33.7 | 82.0 | -0.36 | 50.2 | 46.4 |
| Shanna Brown | - | 15 | 26.4 | 15.5 | 7.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 12.6 | 11.5 | -16 | -0.8 | -6.1 | 50.3 | 34.1 | 90.3 | 0.16 | 57.2 | 54.0 |
| Taysie Trejo | - | 15 | 29.7 | 14.1 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 3.7 | 12.9 | 6.3 | -9 | -0.5 | -3.2 | 36.1 | 33.3 | 73.4 | 2.09 | 47.5 | 42.3 |
| Naveya Jackson | - | 15 | 20.2 | 12.9 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 10.5 | 6.5 | -23 | -1.2 | -11.2 | 39.5 | 33.3 | 72.2 | 1.45 | 51.1 | 44.9 |
| Andrea Butterbrodt | - | 16 | 29.6 | 12.4 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 11.7 | 5.4 | -53 | -2.6 | -20.0 | 36.9 | 12.9 | 83.6 | -1.71 | 45.7 | 38.0 |
| Grace King | - | 16 | 27.8 | 10.8 | 6.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 8.8 | 8.9 | -106 | -5.6 | -32.4 | 51.4 | 29.2 | 73.3 | -1.42 | 56.5 | 53.9 |
| Katelyn Tietjen | - | 15 | 26.9 | 8.2 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 5.9 | 4.7 | -41 | -2.2 | -13.0 | 40.9 | 42.5 | 66.7 | -1.96 | 55.7 | 50.6 |
| Kristin Wentling | - | 13 | 25.6 | 7.9 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 6.9 | 5.5 | -20 | -1.2 | -6.1 | 40.0 | 31.6 | 71.4 | 0.01 | 48.9 | 43.3 |
| Isabela Gunderson | - | 16 | 18.4 | 7.8 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 7.4 | 2.5 | -43 | -2.1 | -15.3 | 43.2 | 36.1 | 69.2 | -1.11 | 50.1 | 48.7 |
| Gracie McNabb | - | 16 | 27.4 | 7.2 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 7.5 | 1.7 | -48 | -2.4 | -14.9 | 30.0 | 31.0 | 89.5 | 1.24 | 44.8 | 40.8 |
| Amya Pluess | - | 16 | 30.1 | 6.4 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 6.1 | 6.6 | 32 | 1.6 | 10.3 | 43.3 | 32.3 | 47.1 | 2.61 | 48.8 | 48.5 |
| Aja Holmes | - | 15 | 13.7 | 6.1 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 4.7 | 4.7 | -38 | -1.9 | -15.4 | 42.3 | 32.4 | 69.0 | -0.96 | 54.3 | 50.0 |
| Abbi Dykstra | - | 17 | 21.7 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 6.6 | 2.1 | -110 | -5.2 | -41.0 | 31.2 | 29.9 | 83.3 | -3.05 | 44.1 | 42.9 |
| Sophia Pedraza | - | 17 | 21.7 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 3.6 | 5.2 | -65 | -3.1 | -24.1 | 42.6 | 31.8 | 75.0 | -2.82 | 54.6 | 48.4 |
| Jayden Ross | - | 15 | 28.2 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 5.1 | 3.9 | 6 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 36.4 | 16.7 | 63.6 | -1.67 | 41.0 | 37.0 |
| Briann Warehime | - | 6 | 12.1 | 4.7 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 22 | 3.1 | 13.3 | 24.0 | 31.2 | 100.0 | 2.58 | 46.9 | 34.0 |
| Abby Kulig | - | 8 | 17.3 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6.0 | 4.1 | - | - | - | 29.2 | 0.0 | 60.0 | - | 32.4 | 29.2 |
| Madison Martinez | - | 13 | 16.5 | 4.2 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.5 | 4.5 | -9 | -0.5 | -9.4 | 34.8 | 36.1 | 71.4 | 1.68 | 52.7 | 48.9 |
| Alexa Schwartz | - | 16 | 23.4 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 5.3 | 3.8 | -17 | -0.8 | -11.4 | 30.6 | 23.8 | 66.7 | -1.85 | 36.0 | 33.5 |
| Sam Ising | - | 14 | 21.8 | 3.9 | 6.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 3.7 | 8.4 | -41 | -2.4 | -19.7 | 48.1 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.32 | 49.4 | 48.1 |
| Zoiey Jumawan | - | 15 | 15.3 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 4.2 | 2.3 | -24 | -1.3 | -9.6 | 36.5 | 32.4 | 100.0 | -0.19 | 46.2 | 45.2 |
| Hannah Lopez | - | 17 | 25.1 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 4.5 | 3.9 | -50 | -2.4 | -17.6 | 31.2 | 31.7 | 50.0 | -2.17 | 40.2 | 39.6 |
| Kiyah Hatcher | - | 12 | 14.7 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 1.8 | -29 | -2.1 | -14.3 | 40.9 | 36.4 | 66.7 | -2.62 | 50.8 | 50.0 |
| Jemima Yowa | - | 8 | 11.7 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 3.9 | - | - | - | 57.9 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 61.5 | 57.9 |
| Kira Holliday | - | 15 | 22.3 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 3.4 | 2.8 | -167 | -10.4 | -127.6 | 27.5 | 18.2 | 54.5 | -3.82 | 34.0 | 31.4 |
| Emma Nickerson | - | 11 | 9.0 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 0.1 | -54 | -3.4 | -38.1 | 21.2 | 21.4 | 87.5 | -1.3 | 32.9 | 25.8 |
| Jocelyn Chammas | - | 17 | 9.4 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 3.0 | -0.6 | -82 | -4.1 | -42.6 | 23.5 | 24.2 | 37.5 | -4.8 | 32.1 | 31.4 |
| Alice Wilkinson | - | 15 | 17.4 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 2.2 | -40 | -2.1 | -19.5 | 20.0 | 10.0 | 52.4 | -0.41 | 27.7 | 21.1 |
| Alexa Romero | - | 11 | 11.4 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 27 | 1.7 | 18.1 | 25.8 | 20.0 | 80.0 | 1.17 | 33.1 | 29.0 |
| Linley Southern | - | 16 | 16.9 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 3.7 | -76 | -3.8 | -39.0 | 37.0 | 33.3 | 58.8 | -3.03 | 45.0 | 38.9 |
| Madalynn Becker | - | 7 | 7.7 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 0.6 | 9.6 | 28.6 | 33.3 | 40.0 | 2.03 | 34.0 | 32.1 |
| Kendall Weiler | - | 9 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 0.4 | 3.3 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 42.9 | 0.68 | 53.5 | 55.0 |
| Alyana Feekes | - | 14 | 13.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.1 | 18.2 | 100.0 | 0.85 | 32.5 | 27.6 |
| Kaitlyn Carothers | - | 3 | 6.8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Kimora Wright | - | 4 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | -2 | -0.4 | -14.1 | 33.3 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.04 | 29.1 | 33.3 |
| Kaydence Menchaca | - | 5 | 4.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -1.2 | -2 | -0.2 | -8.1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.55 | 13.8 | 10.0 |
| Darya Gunderman | - | 6 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -1 | -0.1 | -3.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.93 | 0 | 0 |
| Blayne Gacke | - | 3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 13 | 2.2 | 42.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.52 | 0 | 0 |
| Julia Conte | - | 2 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -7 | -1.2 | -39.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.01 | 0 | 0 |
| Hannah Moesch | - | 4 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -0.8 | -3 | -0.6 | -8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Bella Zeck | - | 8 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.1 | -0.8 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Payton Cordova | - | 3 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | -1.7 | -2 | -0.5 | -12.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.36 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Addison Pertell | - | 1 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 4 | 2.0 | 18.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.01 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jaida Cunningham | - | 3 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | -0.7 | 4 | 2.0 | 55.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Isabella Ayer | - | 3 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | -0.3 | 3 | 0.4 | 12.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.53 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Lucie Carter | - | 1 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Naomi Gonzales | - | 1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -6 | -1.2 | -40.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 |
| Samantha Ising | - | 1 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 9 | 3.0 | 14.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.98 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG