Concordia (AL)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 957 (#471) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -25.3 (#555) | HCA +3.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.212 (#580) | AdjO 60.7 | AdjD 75.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.133 (#567) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.148 (#568) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 950 (#280) | RD 319 | GP 1 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-17 | vs | San Fran. St. | L | 73 - 74 |
| 2023-12-18 | @ | Sul Ross St. | L | 97 - 100 |
| 2024-01-04 | vs | Texas-Dallas | W | 80 - 60 |
| 2024-02-03 | vs | Sul Ross St. | L | 71 - 86 |
| 2024-02-10 | @ | Texas-Dallas | L | 79 - 95 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jailen Daniel-Dalton | - | 1 | 32.0 | 19.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 16.0 | -25 | -6.2 | -44.8 | 44.4 | 60.0 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 51.5 | 52.8 |
| Donovan Souter | - | 2 | 31.5 | 17.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 13.5 | 8.0 | -1 | -1.0 | -3.9 | 44.4 | 41.2 | 100.0 | -0.62 | 60.8 | 57.4 |
| Austin Page | - | 2 | 26.0 | 16.5 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 9.5 | 16.5 | 34 | 5.7 | 117.2 | 68.4 | 0 | 58.3 | -0.56 | 68.0 | 68.4 |
| Tyjean Burrell | - | 1 | 29.0 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 49 | 9.8 | 78.6 | 33.3 | 37.5 | 50.0 | -0.21 | 46.6 | 45.8 |
| Caleb Oden | - | 1 | 29.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | -19 | -4.8 | -42.5 | 44.4 | 33.3 | 25.0 | -0.42 | 51.1 | 55.6 |
| Nick Donnelly | - | 2 | 32.0 | 11.0 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.5 | 5.5 | -12 | -2.0 | -45.1 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 42.9 | -0.61 | 45.7 | 45.2 |
| Jordan Balderaz | - | 2 | 21.0 | 10.5 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.5 | 10.5 | 7 | 0.5 | 75.7 | 47.1 | 0.0 | 62.5 | -1.12 | 51.2 | 47.1 |
| Jake Paxton | - | 1 | 16.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | -2 | -0.7 | -8.9 | 60.0 | 66.7 | 50.0 | -0.67 | 76.5 | 80.0 |
| Devon Jackson | - | 1 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 18 | 4.5 | 61.5 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.53 | 106.4 | 100.0 |
| John Bakke | - | 1 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 64 | 12.8 | 109.7 | 60.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.21 | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Rob Wade | - | 2 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.5 | -14 | -2.8 | -41.3 | 62.5 | 0 | 66.7 | -0.5 | 64.4 | 62.5 |
| Franklin Onyeme | - | 2 | 12.0 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 83.3 | - | 82.8 | 75.0 |
| Jonah Roth | - | 1 | 28.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | -1.0 | -18 | -4.5 | -66.7 | 22.2 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.61 | 25.3 | 22.2 |
| Thibaut Tagnon | - | 2 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 2.0 | -9 | -9.0 | -26.5 | 27.3 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.5 | 42.1 | 36.4 |
| Matthew Soto | - | 2 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 52 | 3.7 | 299.3 | 37.5 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.82 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| CJ Bellamy | - | 1 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -14 | -3.5 | -26.1 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.3 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Ryan Nurenberg | - | 2 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Luke Kiser | - | 2 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 5.0 | 10 | 2.0 | 38.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.62 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Donovan Cooks | - | 1 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | -15 | -3.8 | -42.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.49 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Alex Gilat | - | 1 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10 | 2.5 | 20.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.28 | 0 | 0 |
| Parsa Hadjighasemi | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -53 | -3.5 | -935.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Alec Smith | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.06 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Pearse Uniacke | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 38 | 7.6 | 102.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.49 | 0 | 0 |
| Miguel Yniguez | - | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Everett Bates | - | 2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| AJ Carter | - | 2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 18 | 2.6 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.82 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clayton Shaw | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Nnamdi Edeoga | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Markovic | - | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Cody Opoku-Darko | - | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Marcello Pelton | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Elijah Portalis | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jaelyn Rivera | - | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Tyler Stephenson | - | 2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2 | -1.0 | -14.1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.92 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Ethan Van Horn | - | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Brock Davis | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -22 | -4.4 | -5.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.39 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG