🐻⬇️🏀

Concord

Also known as: Concord
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 997 (#160) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1031 (#146) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 992 (#330) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +5.1 (#164) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +3.7 (#264) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.703 (#71) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +1.4 More → 0.533 (#242) NetEff +1.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.5 More → 0.825 (#92) AdjNet +13.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.9 More → 0.779 (#113) AdjNet +10.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 84.7 | AdjD 75.7 More → 0.694 (#105) AdjO 84.7 | AdjD 75.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 80.9 | AdjD 80.9 More → 0.499 (#300) AdjO 80.9 | AdjD 80.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.583 (#248) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.558 (#270) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 92 | GP 22 More → 1023 (#201) RD 92 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Indiana (PA) - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Pitt.-Johnstown - Incomplete score
2025-11-19 vs Bluefield St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs California (PA) - Incomplete score
2025-11-24 vs Virginia Union - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 @ West Virginia St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Charleston (WV) - Incomplete score
2025-12-10 vs Frostburg St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-17 @ Point Park - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 @ Fairmont St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-29 @ Akron - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 vs Salem (WV) - Incomplete score
2026-01-07 @ West Va. Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Davis & Elkins - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 @ Wheeling - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs West Liberty - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 @ Charleston (WV) - Incomplete score
2026-01-23 vs Glenville St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Frostburg St. - Incomplete score
2026-02-02 @ Bluefield St. - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 @ Salem (WV) - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Point Park - Incomplete score
2026-02-09 vs Fairmont St. L 73 - 80
2026-02-11 vs West Va. Wesleyan W 89 - 67
2026-02-14 @ Davis & Elkins W 75 - 72
2026-02-18 vs Wheeling L 71 - 77
2026-02-22 @ West Liberty L 82 - 109
2026-02-25 vs West Virginia St. W 84 - 81
2026-02-28 @ Glenville St. L 89 - 90
2026-03-06 @ Wheeling W 96 - 71
2026-03-07 @ Fairmont St. L 74 - 91

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.