Concord
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1183 (#7) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1109 (#100) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 992 (#330) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +9.6 (#107) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.7 (#264) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.703 (#215) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.533 (#249) | NetEff +1.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.825 (#218) | AdjNet +13.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.779 (#251) | AdjNet +10.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.694 (#236) | AdjO 84.7 | AdjD 75.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.499 (#300) | AdjO 80.9 | AdjD 80.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.583 (#248) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.558 (#270) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1024 (#202) | RD 92 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Indiana (PA) | L | 74 - 93 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Pitt.-Johnstown | L | 75 - 79 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Bluefield St. | W | 61 - 50 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | California (PA) | W | 81 - 79 |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Virginia Union | L | 58 - 65 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | West Virginia St. | W | 97 - 76 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Charleston (WV) | W | 82 - 78 |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Frostburg St. | W | 97 - 83 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Point Park | W | 78 - 61 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Fairmont St. | W | 95 - 87 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Akron | L | 64 - 115 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Salem (WV) | W | 101 - 75 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | West Va. Wesleyan | W | 97 - 62 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Davis & Elkins | L | 83 - 85 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Wheeling | W | 108 - 100 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | West Liberty | L | 70 - 102 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Charleston (WV) | L | 91 - 102 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Glenville St. | L | 100 - 112 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Frostburg St. | L | 61 - 94 |
| 2026-02-02 | @ | Bluefield St. | L | 77 - 83 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Salem (WV) | W | 97 - 94 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Point Park | L | 76 - 82 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraig Gilbert | - | 15 | 30.2 | 15.6 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 10.7 | 12.3 | 46 | 3.3 | 30.3 | 54.4 | 47.5 | 68.8 | 1.29 | 67.2 | 66.2 |
| Micah Young | - | 21 | 23.5 | 15.0 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 12.1 | 7.8 | -53 | -2.6 | -14.4 | 44.3 | 36.1 | 87.9 | 2.48 | 55.3 | 50.2 |
| Boubacar Djigo | - | 20 | 30.2 | 14.9 | 12.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 10.3 | 18.6 | 25 | 1.4 | 8.5 | 57.0 | 28.6 | 66.2 | 2.07 | 63.1 | 61.4 |
| Anfernee Hanna | - | 22 | 27.7 | 13.9 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 9.8 | 7.7 | -9 | -0.5 | -2.0 | 45.8 | 29.6 | 81.4 | -1.14 | 57.6 | 49.5 |
| Josiah Rickards | - | 21 | 25.8 | 9.9 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 8.7 | 6.0 | 12 | 0.6 | 3.2 | 35.2 | 29.6 | 81.2 | -0.87 | 49.0 | 41.8 |
| Brendan Hoffman | - | 14 | 18.6 | 7.4 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 4.7 | 5.9 | 11 | 0.8 | 6.2 | 39.4 | 40.0 | 79.5 | 0.69 | 60.3 | 51.5 |
| Khamani Wertz | - | 16 | 25.7 | 6.1 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.6 | 5.2 | -31 | -2.2 | -21.5 | 32.6 | 34.4 | 77.3 | -0.77 | 49.1 | 44.9 |
| Savier McCall | - | 21 | 11.6 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 3.7 | 3.0 | -6 | -0.3 | -2.3 | 46.2 | 29.4 | 82.4 | -2.22 | 53.2 | 49.4 |
| Eldon Terry | - | 22 | 11.4 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 5.3 | 18 | 0.9 | 7.5 | 50.0 | 30.8 | 100.0 | -0.41 | 62.1 | 58.3 |
| Cole Lambert | - | 20 | 13.8 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 3.0 | 0.9 | -7 | -0.4 | -3.8 | 27.1 | 21.1 | 60.0 | -1.93 | 33.1 | 30.5 |
| John Gabbert | - | 18 | 8.1 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 10 | 0.6 | 6.7 | 23.1 | 25.0 | 84.6 | 1.22 | 39.1 | 30.8 |
| Riley Clevenger | - | 11 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.5 | -21 | -2.6 | -86.4 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -0.87 | 50.6 | 50.0 |
| Sam Boothe | - | 14 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | -23 | -2.1 | -76.1 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 75.0 | -1.18 | 46.1 | 37.5 |
| Corey Shumate | - | 13 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | -18 | -1.6 | -50.9 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 33.3 | -0.7 | 42.1 | 42.9 |
| Brandon Isaac | - | 14 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | -0.1 | -10 | -1.7 | -41.2 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.87 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| John Rose III | - | 2 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -62 | -4.8 | -33.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.37 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG