Columbus St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1272 (#23) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1259 (#29) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1136 (#44) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +11.1 (#83) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +8.1 (#187) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.733 (#52) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.645 (#235) | NetEff +5.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.822 (#95) | AdjNet +13.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.824 (#95) | AdjNet +13.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.720 (#90) | AdjO 80.5 | AdjD 70.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.664 (#89) | AdjO 75.0 | AdjD 67.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.730 (#115) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.725 (#112) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1203 (#48) | RD 97 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | vs | Valdosta St. | W | 98 - 94 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Southern Wesleyan | W | 84 - 79 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | North Greenville | L | 57 - 58 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Catawba | L | 72 - 97 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | West Florida | W | 70 - 68 |
| 2025-11-28 | @ | Francis Marion | W | 84 - 75 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Chowan | W | 71 - 68 |
| 2025-12-02 | vs | Abraham Baldwin | W | 103 - 64 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Lander | W | 64 - 60 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Flagler | L | 74 - 75 |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | North Georgia | L | 76 - 87 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Clayton St. | W | 97 - 87 |
| 2025-12-18 | vs | Thomas (GA) | W | 78 - 59 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Augusta | W | 80 - 71 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | USC Aiken | W | 66 - 65 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | USC Beaufort | L | 75 - 77 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Georgia College | W | 79 - 58 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Ga. Southwestern | W | 75 - 72 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Middle Georgia | W | 76 - 58 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | Lander | L | 60 - 68 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | North Georgia | W | 77 - 68 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Flagler | L | 61 - 67 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Augusta | W | 70 - 67 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Clayton St. | W | 93 - 87 |
| 2026-02-11 | @ | USC Beaufort | W | 80 - 68 |
| 2026-02-14 | vs | Georgia College | W | 85 - 81 |
| 2026-02-18 | vs | USC Aiken | W | 87 - 74 |
| 2026-02-25 | @ | Middle Georgia | W | 84 - 77 |
| 2026-03-01 | vs | Ga. Southwestern | W | 82 - 69 |
| 2026-03-04 | vs | Ga. Southwestern | W | 63 - 44 |
| 2026-03-07 | vs | North Georgia | L | 59 - 65 |
| 2026-03-14 | @ | Catawba | W | 78 - 75 |
| 2026-03-15 | @ | Lander | L | 66 - 74 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlon Smith | - | 22 | 32.3 | 17.7 | 8.0 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 12.3 | 14.9 | - | - | - | - | 46.3 | 34.5 | 72.7 | - | 58.7 | 53.3 |
| Jordan Mitchell | - | 25 | 33.3 | 13.3 | 6.4 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 9.8 | 12.6 | - | - | - | - | 54.1 | 40.5 | 71.4 | - | 62.2 | 60.6 |
| Lee Langstaff II | - | 21 | 24.7 | 10.2 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.7 | 6.7 | - | - | - | - | 46.6 | 36.0 | 78.3 | - | 57.4 | 52.2 |
| Jydon Hall | - | 18 | 24.9 | 10.2 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 7.9 | 7.0 | - | - | - | - | 43.4 | 31.5 | 72.9 | - | 54.5 | 49.3 |
| Pascal Volz | - | 23 | 25.9 | 8.3 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 7.8 | 6.0 | - | - | - | - | 41.7 | 31.6 | 70.8 | - | 50.4 | 48.6 |
| Ahmed-Sory Soumahoro | - | 16 | 16.8 | 6.9 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 4.9 | 5.2 | - | - | - | - | 49.4 | 33.3 | 61.7 | - | 55.2 | 51.3 |
| Jaylen Harris | - | 24 | 14.6 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 5.3 | 4.0 | - | - | - | - | 39.1 | 40.8 | 67.6 | - | 54.1 | 51.2 |
| Masiah Jones | - | 24 | 22.7 | 6.2 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 4.9 | 6.0 | - | - | - | - | 48.7 | 40.0 | 56.4 | - | 55.9 | 54.7 |
| Aaron Smith | - | 23 | 10.8 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 51.9 | 41.7 | 57.1 | - | 56.9 | 56.5 |
| Delexcrius Morton | - | 5 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | 44.4 | 42.9 | 0 | - | 61.1 | 61.1 |
| Nathan Eroh | - | 20 | 7.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 51.4 | 50.0 |
| Jackson Harris | - | 8 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | -0.2 | - | - | - | - | 30.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Robert Moore | - | 8 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 | -0.4 | - | - | - | - | 25.0 | 16.7 | 0 | - | 31.2 | 31.2 |
| Davis Byrnes | - | 7 | 3.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | - | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Demetrius Gibson | - | 4 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | -0.5 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG