Columbia Lions
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 822 (#243) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 891 (#226) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 984 (#174) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.5 (#262) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.5 (#281) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.337 (#228) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.152 (#273) | AdjNet -14.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.148 (#273) | AdjNet -15.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.312 (#264) | AdjO 55.6 | AdjD 64.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.366 (#261) | AdjO 59.1 | AdjD 65.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.287 (#254) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.296 (#255) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 879 (#232) | RD 151 | GP 26 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-20 | vs | Lafayette | L | 52 - 59 |
| 1999-11-23 | @ | Duke | L | 52 - 99 |
| 1999-11-29 | @ | Quinnipiac | L | 38 - 49 |
| 1999-12-03 | N | Monmouth | W | 61 - 45 |
| 1999-12-04 | N | Western Carolina | L | 81 - 83 |
| 1999-12-08 | @ | Stony Brook | L | 50 - 63 |
| 1999-12-11 | vs | Lehigh | W | 67 - 65 |
| 1999-12-13 | @ | Seton Hall | L | 58 - 60 |
| 1999-12-29 | N | Davidson | L | 47 - 50 |
| 1999-12-30 | N | New Hampshire | W | 72 - 57 |
| 2000-01-05 | vs | Wagner | W | 62 - 56 |
| 2000-01-09 | @ | Army | W | 46 - 45 |
| 2000-01-14 | vs | Cornell | W | 75 - 58 |
| 2000-01-22 | @ | Cornell | W | 69 - 66 |
| 2000-01-28 | vs | Pennsylvania | L | 37 - 63 |
| 2000-01-29 | vs | Princeton | L | 46 - 53 |
| 2000-02-04 | @ | Dartmouth | L | 46 - 52 |
| 2000-02-05 | @ | Harvard | W | 71 - 65 |
| 2000-02-11 | vs | Brown | W | 68 - 59 |
| 2000-02-12 | vs | Yale | L | 59 - 65 |
| 2000-02-18 | @ | Princeton | L | 52 - 81 |
| 2000-02-19 | @ | Pennsylvania | L | 58 - 81 |
| 2000-02-25 | @ | Yale | W | 72 - 67 |
| 2000-02-26 | @ | Brown | W | 53 - 48 |
| 2000-03-03 | vs | Harvard | L | 59 - 61 |
| 2000-03-04 | vs | Dartmouth | W | 70 - 63 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.