Colorado State
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1108 (#94) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1084 (#101) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1026 (#127) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.7 (#97) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +5.0 (#90) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.538 (#138) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.709 (#98) | AdjNet +7.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.711 (#98) | AdjNet +7.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.586 (#104) | AdjO 73.1 | AdjD 69.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.531 (#125) | AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 69.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.642 (#85) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.631 (#85) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1131 (#75) | RD 112 | GP 31 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-16 | vs | Purdue Fort Wayne | W | 80 - 62 |
| 2002-11-18 | vs | Florida Atlantic | W | 81 - 56 |
| 2002-11-19 | vs | Cleveland State | W | 77 - 63 |
| 2002-11-27 | @ | Southern Illinois | L | 71 - 83 |
| 2002-11-30 | @ | Little Rock | L | 75 - 84 |
| 2002-12-07 | vs | Gardner-Webb | W | 90 - 63 |
| 2002-12-11 | vs | Denver | W | 96 - 80 |
| 2002-12-14 | vs | Washington State | W | 90 - 79 |
| 2002-12-22 | vs | South Carolina | W | 81 - 67 |
| 2002-12-27 | vs | Prairie View A&M | W | 85 - 73 |
| 2002-12-30 | @ | Purdue | L | 56 - 84 |
| 2003-01-03 | vs | South Florida | W | 82 - 70 |
| 2003-01-07 | @ | Colorado | L | 72 - 93 |
| 2003-01-13 | vs | New Mexico | W | 74 - 58 |
| 2003-01-18 | vs | Air Force | W | 51 - 49 |
| 2003-01-25 | vs | Wyoming | L | 77 - 79 |
| 2003-02-01 | @ | San Diego State | W | 72 - 69 |
| 2003-02-03 | @ | Nevada–Las Vegas | L | 57 - 90 |
| 2003-02-08 | vs | Utah | L | 66 - 71 |
| 2003-02-10 | vs | Brigham Young | L | 68 - 77 |
| 2003-02-15 | @ | Air Force | L | 75 - 80 |
| 2003-02-17 | @ | New Mexico | L | 72 - 82 |
| 2003-02-22 | @ | Wyoming | L | 60 - 62 |
| 2003-03-01 | vs | Nevada–Las Vegas | L | 67 - 73 |
| 2003-03-03 | vs | San Diego State | W | 102 - 89 |
| 2003-03-06 | @ | Utah | W | 66 - 65 |
| 2003-03-08 | @ | Brigham Young | L | 55 - 67 |
| 2003-03-13 | N | Wyoming | W | 74 - 71 |
| 2003-03-14 | N | Brigham Young | W | 86 - 80 |
| 2003-03-15 | @ | Nevada–Las Vegas | W | 62 - 61 |
| 2003-03-20 | N | Duke | L | 57 - 67 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.