Colorado State
Model Outputs
1993-1994
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1024 (#138) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1012 (#152) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 953 (#205) | HCA +119 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.0 (#104) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.5 (#142) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.596 (#104) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.645 (#103) | AdjNet +5.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.646 (#104) | AdjNet +5.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.571 (#108) | AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 70.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.479 (#165) | AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 72.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.530 (#137) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.511 (#149) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1000 (#152) | RD 133 | GP 26 |
1994 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1993-12-03 | vs | Utah State | W | 78 - 65 |
| 1993-12-06 | vs | Colorado | W | 97 - 85 |
| 1993-12-09 | @ | North Carolina | L | 66 - 89 |
| 1993-12-11 | @ | Toledo | W | 75 - 58 |
| 1993-12-18 | @ | Rice | L | 63 - 64 |
| 1993-12-21 | vs | Southeast Missouri State | W | 104 - 72 |
| 1993-12-23 | vs | Cal State Fullerton | W | 87 - 70 |
| 1994-01-03 | vs | Fresno State | L | 73 - 79 |
| 1994-01-05 | vs | Air Force | W | 85 - 58 |
| 1994-01-08 | @ | San Diego State | W | 74 - 60 |
| 1994-01-10 | @ | Hawaii | L | 66 - 70 |
| 1994-01-15 | @ | Wyoming | L | 58 - 73 |
| 1994-01-20 | vs | New Mexico | W | 72 - 70 |
| 1994-01-22 | vs | UTEP | W | 74 - 64 |
| 1994-01-27 | @ | Utah | W | 71 - 70 |
| 1994-01-29 | @ | Brigham Young | L | 66 - 79 |
| 1994-02-03 | vs | Utah | W | 74 - 69 |
| 1994-02-05 | vs | Brigham Young | L | 70 - 72 |
| 1994-02-10 | @ | UTEP | L | 78 - 81 |
| 1994-02-12 | @ | New Mexico | L | 59 - 82 |
| 1994-02-19 | vs | Wyoming | L | 72 - 74 |
| 1994-02-24 | vs | San Diego State | W | 98 - 83 |
| 1994-02-26 | vs | Hawaii | W | 81 - 74 |
| 1994-03-03 | @ | Fresno State | L | 77 - 84 |
| 1994-03-05 | @ | Air Force | L | 66 - 70 |
| 1994-03-10 | N | Hawaii | L | 61 - 65 |
1994 Roster
No roster data available for this season.