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Colorado State

Also known as: Colorado State Rams, Colorado State
Program History

2026 Team Stats (32 games)

75.2
PPG
71.1
Opp
+4.1
Margin
47.9%
FG%
38.0%
3P%
76.9%
FT%
32.6
RPG
15.9
APG
11.8
TO
72.7
Pace
76.6
AdjO
68.7
AdjD
#88
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1101 (#95) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1085 (#105) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1023 (#142) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +7.7 (#88) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +20.9 (#75) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.626 (#98) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +44.4 More → 0.994 (#6) NetEff +44.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.1 More → 0.762 (#88) AdjNet +10.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.2 More → 0.764 (#90) AdjNet +10.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 68.7 More → 0.672 (#88) AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 68.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 68.2 More → 0.607 (#110) AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 68.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.836 (#93) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.802 (#92) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 115 | GP 32 More → 1121 (#121) RD 115 | GP 32

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Incarnate Word Cardinals W 98 - 64
2025-11-09 vs Omaha Mavericks W 97 - 74
2025-11-12 vs Cal Poly Mustangs W 93 - 79
2025-11-16 @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers W 80 - 67
2025-11-21 vs Denver Pioneers L 81 - 83
2025-11-26 vs Virginia Tech Hokies L 64 - 66
2025-11-27 vs Wichita State Shockers W 76 - 70
2025-11-28 @ South Florida Bulls W 83 - 68
2025-12-14 vs Northern New Mexico Eagles W 104 - 54
2025-12-20 @ Utah State Aggies L 58 - 100
2025-12-30 vs Nevada Wolf Pack L 62 - 75
2026-01-03 @ Grand Canyon Lopes W 70 - 60
2026-01-06 vs New Mexico Lobos L 70 - 80
2026-01-09 vs UNLV Rebels W 70 - 62
2026-01-13 @ Fresno State Bulldogs L 69 - 79
2026-01-16 @ Boise State Broncos L 73 - 79
2026-01-20 vs Air Force Falcons W 81 - 52
2026-01-23 vs Utah State Aggies L 61 - 65
2026-01-28 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 50 - 73
2026-01-31 @ Wyoming Cowboys L 57 - 68
2026-02-07 vs San José State Spartans W 65 - 57
2026-02-10 @ Air Force Falcons W 91 - 74
2026-02-14 vs Wyoming Cowboys W 79 - 68
2026-02-18 @ UNLV Rebels W 91 - 86
2026-02-21 vs San Diego State Aztecs W 83 - 74
2026-02-24 vs Fresno State Bulldogs W 74 - 70
2026-02-28 @ San José State Spartans W 85 - 73
2026-03-04 @ New Mexico Lobos W 82 - 74
2026-03-07 vs Boise State Broncos L 67 - 78
2026-03-11 vs Fresno State Bulldogs W 67 - 63
2026-03-12 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 62 - 71
2026-03-18 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks L 64 - 69

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Brandon Rechsteiner Brandon Rechsteiner G 32 27.8 11.9 2.2 2.4 0.8 0.1 1.7 9.2 6.5 60 2.7 4.3 44.7 40.0 80.9 0.74 60.6 58.4
K. Jorgensen K. Jorgensen F 26 25.2 11.2 4.3 2.2 0.6 0.5 1.5 7.6 9.7 118 6.6 12.1 50.5 39.6 81.2 1.11 64.1 60.1
C. Booth C. Booth F 32 24.5 10.9 5.6 0.6 0.4 1.1 1.1 6.6 10.9 18 0.8 1.6 52.8 40.5 82.9 0.19 67.1 60.8
J. Pascarelli J. Pascarelli - 25 26.3 9.6 2.8 1.5 0.6 0.0 0.8 7.8 6.0 22 1.0 1.5 43.1 37.8 87.0 -0.48 58.3 56.2
J. Muniz J. Muniz G 32 30.5 9.4 3.9 4.9 0.9 0.2 1.4 7.1 10.8 88 4.0 6.1 47.3 36.7 69.9 0.63 58.3 55.3
Jase Butler Jase Butler - 32 26.2 9.3 3.2 1.9 0.6 0.1 1.1 5.8 8.1 40 1.8 3.6 44.1 40.6 81.1 0.12 63.2 55.6
R. Mbemba R. Mbemba F 21 17.5 8.1 3.7 0.9 0.4 0.2 1.4 4.2 7.6 -26 -2.9 -6.2 59.6 50.0 72.0 -0.4 68.0 62.4
A. Kiudulas A. Kiudulas F 32 14.8 6.1 2.8 0.8 0.5 0.0 1.1 3.5 5.7 40 1.9 5.2 55.0 45.2 69.0 0.45 65.6 61.3
Jojo Mciver Jojo Mciver - 31 12.6 2.7 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.9 2.2 3.1 24 1.1 4.5 39.7 16.7 74.3 -0.25 51.0 43.4
N. Djapa N. Djapa - 17 9.2 2.5 1.8 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.0 1.5 3.0 10 0.6 2.6 65.4 25.0 50.0 0.1 65.1 67.3
J. Mekonnen J. Mekonnen - 10 5.0 2.1 1.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.0 -5 -0.5 -5.6 26.3 0.0 91.7 -0.14 43.2 26.3
D. Slater D. Slater - 22 6.6 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.2 1.0 2 0.1 1.5 40.7 11.1 90.9 -0.3 51.8 42.6
C. Dortch C. Dortch - 4 3.8 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 13 2.6 88.4 50.0 0 0 -0.11 50.0 50.0
Docker Tedeschi Docker Tedeschi F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG