Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.4% | 89.6% | +14.8 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.6% | 86.4% | +10.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +10 (84-74). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavin Holden * | 31 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jeremiah Davis * | 31 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Christian King * | 27 | 4-13 | 2-9 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Jaden Steppe * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Darnez Slater * | 20 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Howie Keene | 27 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Isaiah Crane | 19 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Seth Amunrud | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Hale Hansen | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Pascarelli * | 32 | 6-10 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Jase Butler * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Kyle Jorgensen * | 29 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Carey Booth * | 28 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Justin Menard * | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Jojo McIver | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jaden Ghoreishi | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Rashaan Mbemba | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Pops Dunson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Amondo Miller Jr. | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter