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Colorado Col.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Colorado Col.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1089 (#86) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1220 (#39) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1175 (#38) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +15.3 (#57) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +2.4 (#329) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.912 (#233) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +7.7 More → 0.744 (#258) NetEff +7.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.8 More → 0.917 (#196) AdjNet +20.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +20.3 More → 0.917 (#199) AdjNet +20.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 54.9 More → 0.746 (#208) AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 54.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 53.9 More → 0.646 (#182) AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 53.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.663 (#246) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.678 (#236) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 84 | GP 37 More → 1163 (#97) RD 84 | GP 37

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Purchase W 76 - 50
2025-11-08 @ Lehman W 81 - 75
2025-11-11 vs Penn St.-Hazleton W 59 - 33
2025-11-14 @ Hope L 47 - 71
2025-11-14 @ Clarkson L 49 - 67
2025-11-15 @ Calvin W 64 - 61
2025-11-15 @ SUNY Poly L 36 - 37
2025-11-17 @ Aurora W 62 - 59
2025-11-21 @ Puget Sound W 59 - 54
2025-11-22 @ Pacific (OR) L 92 - 95
2025-11-24 vs Keystone W 78 - 49
2025-11-28 vs Saint Benedict L 48 - 51
2025-11-30 vs Whitman W 53 - 39
2025-12-01 vs Cairn W 72 - 20
2025-12-03 @ Lancaster Bible L 57 - 67
2025-12-06 @ St. Mary's (MD) L 34 - 55
2025-12-13 vs St. Thomas (TX) W 65 - 41
2025-12-20 vs Wartburg W 50 - 49
2025-12-29 @ Moravian L 39 - 79
2025-12-30 @ Mary Washington L 50 - 64
2026-01-03 vs Gallaudet W 63 - 49
2026-01-04 vs Yeshiva W 51 - 30
2026-01-07 @ Wilson W 87 - 63
2026-01-10 vs Valley Forge W 89 - 38
2026-01-11 vs Dallas W 74 - 49
2026-01-13 @ Keystone W 71 - 57
2026-01-16 @ Hendrix W 61 - 58
2026-01-17 vs Penn St.-Berks W 80 - 58
2026-01-18 @ Ozarks (AR) W 75 - 51
2026-01-23 vs McMurry W 85 - 63
2026-01-25 vs Schreiner W 70 - 41
2026-01-30 @ Concordia (TX) W 79 - 72
2026-02-01 @ Texas Lutheran W 62 - 50
2026-02-06 @ McMurry L 37 - 54
2026-02-08 @ Schreiner L 0 - 0

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kayla Mackel - 13 28.8 15.5 3.9 2.0 1.5 1.0 2.5 13.0 8.5 80 4.7 22.1 42.6 31.6 82.5 2.28 53.9 49.7
Ella Bincarosky - 17 31.7 14.6 4.1 1.9 2.7 0.1 2.1 12.8 8.6 61 2.9 13.3 37.8 35.2 82.4 -1.84 53.5 50.7
Samora Merchant - 17 25.5 13.1 9.0 0.6 0.9 2.0 2.8 11.5 11.2 41 2.0 10.3 46.7 0 51.3 1.71 48.4 46.7
Analyse Rios - 17 27.6 12.5 4.9 4.1 2.4 0.2 4.4 12.9 6.7 12 0.5 3.0 35.9 16.7 59.5 2.56 42.2 38.4
Rayna Welsch - 17 22.7 12.1 6.2 1.3 0.6 0.2 2.2 7.9 10.4 92 4.6 39.4 56.7 0.0 77.1 2.08 62.5 56.7
Weronika Swojak - 7 26.5 8.9 9.3 1.3 1.0 0.4 2.3 9.4 9.1 38 3.8 10.4 43.9 0.0 36.4 3.02 43.8 43.9
Isa Nelson - 17 28.9 8.8 2.8 1.7 0.8 0.2 2.0 8.1 4.2 39 1.9 12.4 37.0 30.1 83.9 1.55 49.5 44.9
Andie Will - 17 24.0 7.3 4.0 2.9 1.8 0.3 2.0 7.2 7.1 13 0.6 4.7 39.3 25.0 59.3 4.57 46.3 44.3
Ginger Kerdock - 16 31.0 7.2 4.9 4.1 3.3 0.0 3.1 7.7 8.8 49 2.5 11.0 39.0 30.2 30.4 4.51 43.6 44.3
JuJu Garcia - 17 20.1 6.1 2.2 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.9 6.3 2.8 96 4.6 51.5 31.8 27.8 93.3 -0.46 45.8 42.1
Jillian York - 3 8.4 5.7 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.3 3.7 11 3.7 22.9 57.1 75.0 100.0 0.46 88.2 78.6
Naiya Kurnik - 17 22.1 4.8 6.7 2.1 0.8 0.4 1.7 5.4 7.7 -65 -3.2 -25.6 31.9 25.6 58.3 -1.67 40.4 37.4
Gabrielle Moore - 17 23.3 4.4 3.6 0.8 2.1 0.1 1.7 5.6 3.6 -31 -1.5 -13.4 27.4 28.8 35.7 -0.9 36.6 36.3
Illiana Greene - 17 11.6 4.0 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.2 1.7 3.5 1.3 14 0.7 9.6 40.0 46.4 100.0 -0.42 53.9 50.8
Payton Gates - 15 10.5 3.1 1.9 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.6 3.5 1.7 13 0.8 12.5 34.6 26.7 63.6 -0.7 41.3 38.5
Brooke Leonardi - 17 15.2 3.1 1.7 0.8 0.9 0.1 1.6 4.0 0.9 -43 -2.3 -64.1 26.5 18.9 50.0 -2.24 34.2 31.6
Avery Johnson - 17 25.9 2.9 4.4 1.5 0.6 0.2 1.2 3.1 5.3 25 1.2 8.6 38.5 14.3 50.0 -0.52 42.8 41.3
Addie Meyer - 17 10.1 2.6 3.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 1.5 1.9 3.9 -11 -0.6 -10.6 53.1 50.0 60.0 1.34 57.0 54.7
Megan Perrine - 17 17.7 2.1 3.4 0.8 0.6 0.9 0.8 2.9 4.0 -15 -0.8 -15.4 32.0 0 75.0 -1.84 33.8 32.0
Bel Martinez - 1 5.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 -153 -7.3 -54.4 25.0 0 0 -3.65 25.0 25.0
Lynnashia Brooks - 1 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 -125 -6.0 -36.8 50.0 0 0 -0.79 50.0 50.0
Hailey Wolbeck - 17 17.3 1.9 3.8 0.6 0.8 0.2 1.7 2.2 3.4 -8 -0.4 -7.1 37.8 25.0 50.0 -1.04 41.6 40.5
Ellie Stearn - 5 5.9 1.0 1.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.6 1.2 10 1.7 42.1 25.0 33.3 0 0.7 31.2 31.2
Willa McLaughlin - 2 7.8 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.5 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Natalie Maldonado - 13 4.8 0.1 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 1.0 1.0 -0.7 -21 -1.5 -64.5 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.22 3.6 0.0
Alyxa Martinez - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 37 2.2 71.8 0 0 0 0.34 0 0
Riley McClaugherty - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -7 -1.0 -25.8 0 0 0 0.62 0 0
Addison Kemp - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9 4.5 108.0 0 0 0 -0.01 0 0
Sierra Schaefer - 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -36 -1.9 -16.1 0.0 0 0 0.78 0.0 0.0
Nevaeh Gray - 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5 0.3 1.9 0.0 0 0 2.67 0.0 0.0
Alyssa Cantu - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -31 -4.4 -41.7 0 0 0 -1.33 0 0
Jaydee Zamora - 1 5.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -1.0 -127 -5.5 -36.4 0.0 0.0 0 -2.51 0.0 0.0
Jordin Johns - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16 1.8 16.8 0 0 0 2.59 0 0
Kiarabel Garza - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Aylene Ortega - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -6 -0.4 -6.7 0 0 0 0.72 0 0
Brie Sosa - 1 8.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 -96 -5.1 -19.0 0.0 0 0 -1.32 0.0 0.0
Jasmine Culpepper - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -11 -1.4 -41.4 0 0 0 -2.35 0 0
Madison Parham - 1 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -131 -7.7 -49.2 0.0 0 0 -1.8 0.0 0.0
Ava Knipstein - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -106 -5.3 -32.2 0.0 0 0 -3.68 0.0 0.0
Madelyn Kincaide - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -120 -6.3 -27.6 0 0 0 -1.51 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG