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Colo. Christian

Also known as: Colo. Christian
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1039 (#149) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 969 (#293) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1030 (#169) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +1.6 (#253) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +1.2 (#309) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.292 (#442) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.2 More → 0.465 (#430) AdjNet -1.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.2 More → 0.465 (#433) AdjNet -1.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 73.0 More → 0.487 (#431) AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 73.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 70.1 More → 0.500 (#297) AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 70.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.463 (#344) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.476 (#333) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 94 | GP 23 More → 992 (#232) RD 94 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Northern Colo. - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 @ St. Edward's - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ DBU - Incomplete score
2025-11-21 vs North American - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs Kansas Christian - Incomplete score
2025-11-26 vs Western N.M. - Incomplete score
2025-11-30 @ Chadron St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-04 vs Western Colo. - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Colorado Mesa - Incomplete score
2025-12-09 @ Denver - Incomplete score
2025-12-11 @ South Dakota Mines - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 @ Black Hills St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 @ N.M. Highlands - Incomplete score
2026-01-02 vs Northern N.M. - Incomplete score
2026-01-06 vs UCCS - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ CSU Pueblo - Incomplete score
2026-01-15 vs MSU Denver - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Colo. Sch. of Mines - Incomplete score
2026-01-22 @ Fort Lewis - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Adams St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 @ Westminster (UT) - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Western Colo. - Incomplete score
2026-02-05 vs Chadron St. - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs South Dakota Mines - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Pierce Bazil - 22 31.7 18.3 3.6 2.2 1.0 0.1 2.5 12.3 10.4 -69 -3.1 -13.9 45.2 38.2 73.0 1.26 59.1 53.0
Porter Bazil - 22 28.4 11.6 5.1 2.1 0.5 1.0 2.4 8.8 9.3 -47 -2.1 -9.9 45.6 40.6 72.2 -2.81 57.0 52.8
Joshua Reid - 22 19.7 9.6 6.0 1.1 0.4 0.2 1.1 7.3 9.0 -15 -0.7 -4.9 51.2 37.0 81.6 -1.41 60.0 56.6
Schafer Reichart - 18 30.8 6.7 4.7 2.3 1.1 0.1 1.7 5.5 7.7 -104 -5.2 -23.2 43.4 25.0 63.6 -1.06 51.1 47.0
Andrew Reichart - 22 16.5 6.6 4.4 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.9 4.5 7.2 -4 -0.2 -1.4 55.6 25.0 64.8 -0.74 59.5 56.1
Zachary Reed - 21 13.9 4.4 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.6 3.4 2.8 -55 -2.6 -15.7 33.3 32.1 90.3 -0.12 54.3 45.1
Jimmy House - 18 10.8 4.1 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 3.6 1.8 49 2.7 22.2 39.1 32.7 66.7 3.31 53.7 52.3
Lincoln Cantrall - 22 14.3 3.8 2.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 3.3 2.6 6 0.3 3.5 35.6 39.3 100.0 -1.24 54.9 52.1
Breckten Wilson - 9 11.2 3.8 0.8 1.3 0.0 0.0 1.3 3.4 1.1 97 3.5 38.5 41.9 27.3 50.0 -0.39 48.0 46.8
Jared Lloyd Jr. - 19 7.7 2.6 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.5 12 0.6 11.8 44.4 33.3 86.7 1.5 57.5 50.0
Ezra Guest - 22 15.2 1.7 1.5 1.5 0.4 0.0 1.4 1.5 2.3 18 0.8 9.7 42.4 33.3 50.0 1.8 54.7 54.5
Bobby McWard - 13 9.1 1.7 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 2.2 -0.3 -73 -5.2 -82.2 24.1 24.0 66.7 -1.08 36.3 34.5
Garrett Poelman - 20 7.3 1.4 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.8 2.1 3 0.1 3.0 64.7 0.0 37.5 0.12 58.2 64.7
PJ Chambers - 14 5.2 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7 1.4 -0.6 -19 -1.4 -21.2 21.1 0.0 75.0 -0.5 26.5 21.1
Ethan Johnson - 6 1.8 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.2 -2 -0.3 -114.3 0.0 0.0 0 -8.15 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG