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Colgate

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Colgate Raiders
Program History
Coach: Matt Langel

2021 Team Stats (16 games)

85.2
PPG
69.6
Opp
+15.6
Margin
49.3%
FG%
40.3%
3P%
72.3%
FT%
39.9
RPG
17.6
APG
10.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
82.9
Adj PPG
69.2
Adj Opp PPG
#21
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2020-2021
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1251 (#47) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1227 (#22) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +66 elo More → 1128 (#24) HCA +66 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.9 More → +14.2 (#32) HCA +1.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.0 More → +7.1 (#85) HCA +2.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.911 (#5) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +18.6 More → 0.895 (#35) AdjNet +18.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +18.7 More → 0.898 (#35) AdjNet +18.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.9 | AdjD 69.2 More → 0.777 (#21) AdjO 82.9 | AdjD 69.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 70.5 More → 0.699 (#21) AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 70.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.798 (#29) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.784 (#27) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 140 | GP 16 More → 1287 (#11) RD 140 | GP 16

2021 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-01-02 vs Army Black Knights W 101 - 57
2021-01-03 vs Army Black Knights L 73 - 75
2021-01-09 @ Boston University Terriers W 86 - 79
2021-01-10 @ Boston University Terriers W 89 - 45
2021-01-16 vs Holy Cross Crusaders W 95 - 55
2021-01-17 vs Holy Cross Crusaders W 96 - 87
2021-01-23 vs Bucknell Bison - Preview
2021-01-24 vs Bucknell Bison - Preview
2021-01-30 @ Holy Cross Crusaders W 74 - 63
2021-01-31 @ Holy Cross Crusaders W 78 - 60
2021-02-06 vs Boston University Terriers - Postponed
2021-02-07 vs Boston University Terriers - Postponed
2021-02-13 @ Army Black Knights W 84 - 74
2021-02-14 @ Army Black Knights W 92 - 83
2021-02-20 vs Boston University Terriers W 82 - 72
2021-02-21 vs Boston University Terriers W 78 - 63
2021-03-06 vs Boston University Terriers W 77 - 69
2021-03-10 vs Bucknell Bison W 105 - 75
2021-03-14 vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds W 85 - 72
2021-03-19 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 68 - 85

2021 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jordan Burns Jordan Burns G 16 29.3 16.8 4.3 5.3 1.6 0.2 3.1 13.7 11.4 180 15 12.0 16.6 40.2 42.3 89.9 1.82 53.7 47.0
Jack Ferguson Jack Ferguson G 16 21.2 12.5 4.6 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.7 7.9 10.3 154 15 10.3 19.3 50.0 50.7 90.0 1.53 69.6 65.1
Nelly Cummings Nelly Cummings G 16 26.6 12.4 2.8 1.3 0.6 0.1 1.1 9.2 6.9 165 15 11.0 16.6 46.3 38.4 75.6 2.5 59.4 55.8
Tucker Richardson Tucker Richardson G 16 30.6 11.6 5.8 4.2 1.3 0.3 1.8 9.0 12.5 209 15 13.9 18.3 45.8 36.5 72.2 1.68 57.9 55.2
Keegan Records Keegan Records F 16 22.7 9.1 6.9 1.2 0.3 1.1 0.8 6.5 11.4 156 15 10.4 18.8 60.6 0 47.5 2.33 59.6 60.6
Jeff Woodward Jeff Woodward F 15 16.1 8.0 4.3 1.9 0.5 1.1 1.3 5.3 9.3 109 14 7.8 18.8 65.8 0 57.1 1.06 65.7 65.8
Ryan Moffatt Ryan Moffatt F 16 22.3 5.2 3.3 0.5 1.2 0.1 0.4 3.5 6.4 89 15 5.9 10.6 57.1 36.4 63.2 -3.01 65.3 64.3
Oliver Lynch-Daniels Oliver Lynch-Daniels G 16 13.4 3.7 2.1 1.2 0.6 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.9 109 15 7.3 22.0 61.1 47.4 85.7 2.26 75.5 73.6
Sam Thomson Sam Thomson F 16 8.4 2.6 1.6 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.0 2.2 55 15 3.7 18.4 53.1 0.0 41.2 -0.78 51.9 53.1
Capitano, Alex Capitano, Alex G 6 3.7 2.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.0 -5 6 -0.8 -9.9 45.5 20.0 80.0 -2.25 56.8 50.0
David Maynard David Maynard G 16 8.6 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.4 2.2 1.8 66 15 4.4 21.3 38.9 31.6 60.0 -0.6 48.4 47.2
Nicholas Evtimov Nicholas Evtimov F 2 2.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 - - - - 50.0 0 0 -1.08 50.0 50.0
Zach Light Zach Light G 6 4.0 1.2 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.5 0.5 -6 6 -1.0 -10.7 33.3 33.3 0 -2.41 38.9 38.9
Blake Henry Blake Henry F 3 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 -0.3 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -1.7 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG