Colgate Raiders
Model Outputs
2001-2002
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 893 (#219) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 989 (#171) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1027 (#121) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.9 (#218) | HCA +4.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.0 (#199) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.553 (#132) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.317 (#220) | AdjNet -6.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.315 (#220) | AdjNet -6.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.433 (#207) | AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 70.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.497 (#162) | AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 68.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.436 (#193) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.449 (#191) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 953 (#202) | RD 149 | GP 26 |
2002 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001-11-17 | @ | Long Island University | W | 99 - 87 |
| 2001-11-21 | vs | Northern Arizona | L | 77 - 78 |
| 2001-11-25 | vs | Oral Roberts | W | 80 - 68 |
| 2001-11-27 | @ | Syracuse | L | 51 - 70 |
| 2001-12-01 | @ | Cornell | W | 68 - 55 |
| 2001-12-03 | vs | Yale | W | 87 - 75 |
| 2001-12-08 | @ | Harvard | W | 76 - 64 |
| 2001-12-21 | vs | Dartmouth | W | 73 - 65 |
| 2001-12-30 | @ | Notre Dame | L | 61 - 92 |
| 2002-01-05 | @ | New Hampshire | L | 55 - 69 |
| 2002-01-09 | vs | American | L | 59 - 76 |
| 2002-01-12 | @ | Lehigh | L | 74 - 79 |
| 2002-01-16 | @ | Holy Cross | W | 46 - 42 |
| 2002-01-19 | vs | Navy | L | 93 - 95 |
| 2002-01-23 | vs | Bucknell | L | 75 - 80 |
| 2002-01-26 | @ | Lafayette | W | 71 - 67 |
| 2002-01-28 | @ | Binghamton | W | 62 - 58 |
| 2002-01-30 | vs | Army | W | 82 - 72 |
| 2002-02-02 | @ | American | L | 58 - 72 |
| 2002-02-06 | vs | Lehigh | W | 84 - 52 |
| 2002-02-09 | vs | Holy Cross | W | 58 - 55 |
| 2002-02-13 | @ | Navy | W | 66 - 65 |
| 2002-02-16 | @ | Bucknell | L | 57 - 68 |
| 2002-02-20 | @ | Army | W | 82 - 65 |
| 2002-02-24 | vs | Lafayette | W | 85 - 73 |
| 2002-03-02 | N | Lafayette | L | 71 - 74 |
2002 Roster
No roster data available for this season.