Colgate Raiders
Model Outputs
1998-1999
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 848 (#225) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 968 (#181) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 999 (#156) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.1 (#208) | HCA +3.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -4.1 (#200) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.462 (#165) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.247 (#222) | AdjNet -9.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.239 (#226) | AdjNet -10.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.394 (#209) | AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 66.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.478 (#172) | AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 63.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.379 (#207) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.395 (#205) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 934 (#200) | RD 147 | GP 27 |
1999 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998-11-17 | @ | Syracuse | L | 40 - 93 |
| 1998-11-21 | @ | Dartmouth | W | 83 - 66 |
| 1998-11-27 | @ | Marist | L | 54 - 68 |
| 1998-11-28 | N | Columbia | W | 75 - 64 |
| 1998-12-01 | vs | Delaware | L | 68 - 70 |
| 1998-12-04 | N | Davidson | W | 67 - 64 |
| 1998-12-05 | @ | Nebraska | L | 48 - 60 |
| 1998-12-08 | vs | Siena | L | 80 - 94 |
| 1998-12-11 | vs | Harvard | W | 67 - 63 |
| 1998-12-20 | vs | Cornell | L | 63 - 78 |
| 1998-12-30 | vs | Manhattan | W | 71 - 68 |
| 1999-01-03 | @ | Canisius | L | 63 - 69 |
| 1999-01-06 | @ | Holy Cross | W | 72 - 53 |
| 1999-01-09 | vs | Army | W | 69 - 49 |
| 1999-01-13 | @ | Lehigh | W | 68 - 59 |
| 1999-01-16 | @ | Pennsylvania | L | 50 - 68 |
| 1999-01-20 | vs | Bucknell | L | 60 - 63 |
| 1999-01-23 | @ | Lafayette | W | 65 - 57 |
| 1999-01-27 | @ | Navy | L | 54 - 56 |
| 1999-01-30 | vs | Holy Cross | W | 71 - 59 |
| 1999-02-03 | @ | Army | L | 66 - 73 |
| 1999-02-07 | @ | Lehigh | W | 84 - 69 |
| 1999-02-13 | @ | Bucknell | L | 45 - 57 |
| 1999-02-17 | vs | Lafayette | W | 47 - 46 |
| 1999-02-20 | vs | Navy | L | 58 - 64 |
| 1999-02-27 | @ | Army | W | 77 - 56 |
| 1999-02-28 | N | Lafayette | L | 71 - 73 |
1999 Roster
No roster data available for this season.