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Colgate Raiders

Also known as: Colgate Raiders
Program History

2013 Team Stats (1 games)

41.0
PPG
101.0
Opp
-60.0
Margin
29.8%
FG%
41.2%
3P%
75.0%
FT%
23.0
RPG
10.0
APG
27.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
53.0
Adj PPG
60.8
Adj Opp PPG
#264
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 796 (#276) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 840 (#279) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +72 elo More โ†’ 921 (#274) HCA +72 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -8.4 (#266) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ -8.3 (#260) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.217 (#270) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -15.0 More โ†’ 0.150 (#275) AdjNet -15.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -15.2 More โ†’ 0.145 (#277) AdjNet -15.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 53.0 | AdjD 60.8 More โ†’ 0.331 (#264) AdjO 53.0 | AdjD 60.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 52.9 | AdjD 58.7 More โ†’ 0.371 (#268) AdjO 52.9 | AdjD 58.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.275 (#270) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.282 (#269) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 149 | GP 28 More โ†’ 873 (#253) RD 149 | GP 28

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Cornell Big Red L 65 - 69
2012-11-11 vs Robert Morris Colonials W 71 - 55
2012-11-16 @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 45 - 54
2012-11-28 @ UConn Huskies L 41 - 101
2012-12-01 @ Sacred Heart Pioneers L 53 - 59
2012-12-04 vs Columbia Lions W 67 - 48
2012-12-08 vs Saint Francis Red Wolves W 67 - 62
2012-12-16 @ Niagara Purple Eagles L 63 - 66
2012-12-21 @ Iona Gaels L 47 - 73
2012-12-29 vs New Hampshire Wildcats W 72 - 61
2013-01-03 vs NJIT Highlanders W 72 - 36
2013-01-06 @ Charlotte 49ers L 33 - 57
2013-01-12 @ American University Eagles L 45 - 54
2013-01-16 @ Bucknell Bison L 51 - 53
2013-01-19 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 62 - 70
2013-01-23 @ Army Black Knights L 48 - 51
2013-01-26 vs Navy Midshipmen L 43 - 59
2013-01-30 vs Lafayette Leopards L 45 - 53
2013-02-02 @ Holy Cross Crusaders L 61 - 71
2013-02-05 @ NJIT Highlanders L 51 - 53
2013-02-09 vs American University Eagles L 44 - 69
2013-02-13 vs Bucknell Bison W 58 - 51
2013-02-16 @ Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 40 - 62
2013-02-20 vs Army Black Knights W 60 - 56
2013-02-23 @ Navy Midshipmen L 48 - 63
2013-02-27 @ Lafayette Leopards W 39 - 37
2013-03-02 vs Holy Cross Crusaders L 51 - 53
2013-03-11 @ Holy Cross Crusaders L 38 - 59

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
L. Kobiela L. Kobiela G 1 0.0 6.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 7.0 -2.0 -108 22 -4.9 -8.9 28.6 100.0 0 -3.56 42.9 42.9
M. Repoli M. Repoli G 1 0.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 -2.0 -64 14 -4.6 -7.4 28.6 20.0 0 -1.1 35.7 35.7
M. Jones M. Jones G 1 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 2.0 -1.0 -69 22 -3.1 -6.2 50.0 100.0 0 -3.44 75.0 75.0
L. Brase L. Brase NA 1 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -1.0 -43 19 -2.3 -4.9 0.0 0 0 -0.07 0.0 0.0
C. Harris C. Harris F 1 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 -32 22 -1.5 -4.9 0.0 0 0 -0.99 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG