Colgate Raiders
Model Outputs
2011-2012
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 782 (#283) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 817 (#288) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 952 (#236) | HCA +78 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -10.3 (#277) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -9.6 (#272) | HCA +2.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.247 (#260) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.124 (#279) | AdjNet -16.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.119 (#278) | AdjNet -17.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.296 (#276) | AdjO 58.8 | AdjD 68.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.366 (#268) | AdjO 61.0 | AdjD 67.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.260 (#277) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.272 (#279) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 859 (#260) | RD 178 | GP 25 |
2012 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011-11-11 | vs | Bryant Bulldogs | L | 74 - 76 |
| 2011-11-15 | @ | Cornell Big Red | L | 56 - 59 |
| 2011-11-22 | vs | Sacred Heart Pioneers | L | 51 - 78 |
| 2011-11-28 | @ | San Diego Toreros | L | 73 - 75 |
| 2011-12-02 | vs | Niagara Purple Eagles | L | 60 - 61 |
| 2011-12-04 | @ | Canisius Golden Griffins | L | 42 - 63 |
| 2011-12-10 | vs | Wagner Seahawks | W | 71 - 59 |
| 2011-12-18 | @ | NJIT Highlanders | W | 54 - 44 |
| 2011-12-22 | vs | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | L | 49 - 68 |
| 2011-12-29 | vs | Iona Gaels | W | 75 - 50 |
| 2011-12-31 | @ | Syracuse Orange | L | 32 - 83 |
| 2012-01-07 | vs | American University Eagles | L | 43 - 56 |
| 2012-01-11 | vs | Bucknell Bison | W | 73 - 66 |
| 2012-01-14 | @ | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | L | 82 - 85 |
| 2012-01-18 | vs | Army Black Knights | L | 54 - 61 |
| 2012-01-21 | @ | Navy Midshipmen | L | 52 - 61 |
| 2012-01-25 | @ | Lafayette Leopards | L | 58 - 66 |
| 2012-01-28 | vs | Holy Cross Crusaders | W | 74 - 69 |
| 2012-02-04 | @ | American University Eagles | L | 47 - 70 |
| 2012-02-08 | @ | Bucknell Bison | L | 45 - 67 |
| 2012-02-11 | vs | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | W | 77 - 71 |
| 2012-02-15 | @ | Army Black Knights | L | 47 - 62 |
| 2012-02-18 | vs | Navy Midshipmen | W | 62 - 60 |
| 2012-02-22 | vs | Lafayette Leopards | W | 69 - 60 |
| 2012-02-25 | @ | Holy Cross Crusaders | L | 72 - 74 |
2012 Roster
No roster data available for this season.