Colgate Raiders
Model Outputs
2009-2010
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 810 (#297) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 772 (#308) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 908 (#290) | HCA +89 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -16.8 (#321) | HCA +3.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -19.4 (#332) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.184 (#287) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.045 (#320) | AdjNet -26.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.043 (#320) | AdjNet -26.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.196 (#319) | AdjO 53.8 | AdjD 69.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.249 (#326) | AdjO 55.6 | AdjD 67.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.146 (#320) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.153 (#322) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 783 (#302) | RD 155 | GP 29 |
2010 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009-11-14 | vs | Presbyterian Blue Hose | W | 63 - 47 |
| 2009-11-16 | vs | Rider Broncs | W | 72 - 65 |
| 2009-11-18 | vs | Alabama State Lady Hornets | W | 66 - 57 |
| 2009-11-21 | vs | Wagner Seahawks | W | 72 - 59 |
| 2009-11-24 | @ | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | W | 56 - 45 |
| 2009-11-28 | vs | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | L | 43 - 61 |
| 2009-12-01 | vs | Bryant Bulldogs | L | 74 - 82 |
| 2009-12-03 | @ | Cornell Big Red | L | 64 - 74 |
| 2009-12-09 | @ | NJIT Highlanders | L | 41 - 52 |
| 2009-12-12 | @ | St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers | L | 54 - 59 |
| 2009-12-28 | @ | Loyola Chicago Ramblers | L | 57 - 86 |
| 2009-12-30 | @ | Detroit Mercy Titans | L | 44 - 67 |
| 2010-01-02 | @ | Ohio Bobcats | L | 40 - 74 |
| 2010-01-05 | vs | Howard Bison | L | 47 - 50 |
| 2010-01-09 | @ | Army Black Knights | L | 57 - 63 |
| 2010-01-13 | @ | Lafayette Leopards | W | 71 - 63 |
| 2010-01-16 | vs | American University Eagles | L | 58 - 80 |
| 2010-01-20 | vs | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | L | 45 - 57 |
| 2010-01-23 | @ | Bucknell Bison | L | 47 - 60 |
| 2010-01-27 | @ | Holy Cross Crusaders | L | 56 - 65 |
| 2010-01-30 | vs | Navy Midshipmen | W | 56 - 54 |
| 2010-02-06 | vs | Army Black Knights | W | 61 - 47 |
| 2010-02-10 | vs | Lafayette Leopards | W | 60 - 57 |
| 2010-02-13 | @ | American University Eagles | L | 47 - 82 |
| 2010-02-17 | @ | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | L | 49 - 80 |
| 2010-02-20 | vs | Bucknell Bison | W | 62 - 58 |
| 2010-02-24 | vs | Holy Cross Crusaders | L | 65 - 78 |
| 2010-02-27 | @ | Navy Midshipmen | L | 50 - 69 |
| 2010-03-06 | @ | Navy Midshipmen | L | 57 - 69 |
2010 Roster
No roster data available for this season.