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Colgate

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Colgate Raiders
Program History
Coach: Matt Langel

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 889 (#236) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 917 (#233) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +98 elo More → 957 (#238) HCA +98 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -6.6 (#260) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -7.4 (#269) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.397 (#220) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.2 More → 0.236 (#269) AdjNet -10.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.3 More → 0.233 (#267) AdjNet -10.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 72.7 More → 0.371 (#256) AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 72.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 72.1 More → 0.426 (#231) AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 72.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.324 (#264) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.334 (#264) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 154 | GP 29 More → 876 (#255) RD 154 | GP 29

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-13 @ George Mason Patriots W 66 - 53
2015-11-16 vs Cornell Big Red L 98 - 101
2015-11-19 @ UAlbany Great Danes L 67 - 88
2015-11-24 @ Fordham Rams L 58 - 84
2015-11-28 @ UMBC Retrievers W 71 - 63
2015-12-01 @ Binghamton Bearcats L 50 - 69
2015-12-05 @ TCU Horned Frogs L 49 - 76
2015-12-08 @ Syracuse Orange L 51 - 78
2015-12-10 vs Utica Pioneers W 90 - 68
2015-12-13 vs New Hampshire Wildcats W 75 - 59
2015-12-23 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 60 - 76
2015-12-30 vs Lafayette Leopards W 77 - 70
2016-01-03 @ American University Eagles W 56 - 37
2016-01-06 @ Holy Cross Crusaders L 63 - 65
2016-01-09 vs Navy Midshipmen L 68 - 71
2016-01-13 vs Army Black Knights W 80 - 66
2016-01-16 @ Bucknell Bison W 84 - 73
2016-01-20 vs Boston University Terriers W 85 - 78
2016-01-24 vs Holy Cross Crusaders W 76 - 61
2016-01-24 @ Loyola Maryland Greyhounds - Postponed
2016-01-27 @ Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 70 - 79
2016-01-30 vs American University Eagles L 49 - 54
2016-02-01 @ Loyola Maryland Greyhounds L 65 - 68
2016-02-06 @ Navy Midshipmen W 58 - 55
2016-02-08 @ Army Black Knights L 72 - 82
2016-02-13 vs Bucknell Bison W 91 - 81
2016-02-17 @ Boston University Terriers L 68 - 71
2016-02-21 vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds W 93 - 90
2016-02-24 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 54 - 71
2016-02-27 @ Lafayette Leopards L 77 - 79
2016-03-03 @ Army Black Knights L 72 - 79

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jordan Swopshire Jordan Swopshire F 3 25.3 13.7 7.3 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 22.7 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Alex Ramon Alex Ramon G 3 30.0 12.7 3.7 2.0 1.3 0.3 3.3 0.0 16.7 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Tom Rivard Tom Rivard F 3 29.7 12.3 6.3 1.3 1.0 0.7 2.3 0.0 19.3 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Sean O'Brien Sean O'Brien G 3 25.0 11.0 1.3 1.7 1.3 0.0 1.3 0.0 14.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Malcolm Regisford Malcolm Regisford F 2 24.0 9.5 5.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 15.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
David Favorite David Favorite G 1 24.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Dave Krmpotich Dave Krmpotich F 3 11.7 4.7 2.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.3 0.0 7.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jordan Robertson Jordan Robertson G 3 17.0 2.0 1.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 4.3 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Francisco Amiel Francisco Amiel G 3 14.7 1.7 1.3 0.7 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 5.7 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Dana Batt Dana Batt C 3 13.3 1.3 3.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 5.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG