Model Predictions
| Model | Colgate Raiders | Navy Midshipmen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.6 | ✗ (7.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.2% | 74.8% | +6.0 | ✗ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Navy Midshipmen -3 (55-58). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Tillotson * | 36 | 5-12 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Swopshire * | 36 | 7-11 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Sean O'Brien * | 30 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Dana Batt * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tom Rivard * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jordan Robertson | 23 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Alex Ramon | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Dave Krmpotich | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Francisco Amiel | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tilman Dunbar * | 37 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 3-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Shawn Anderson * | 36 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Will Kelly * | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Tom Lacey * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Kendall Knorr * | 14 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jace Hogan | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Zach Fong | 15 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Tim Abruzzo | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Edward Alade | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Nourse Fox | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Bryce Dulin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter