Colgate Raiders
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 872 (#222) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 913 (#234) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1019 (#138) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.9 (#235) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -3.5 (#212) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.420 (#207) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.240 (#244) | AdjNet -10.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.236 (#244) | AdjNet -10.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.380 (#236) | AdjO 63.5 | AdjD 68.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.471 (#191) | AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 68.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.394 (#217) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.413 (#211) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 929 (#218) | RD 150 | GP 26 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-22 | @ | Marist | L | 65 - 72 |
| 2002-11-23 | N | Eastern Michigan | L | 65 - 66 |
| 2002-11-26 | vs | Cornell | W | 76 - 58 |
| 2002-12-03 | @ | Syracuse | L | 68 - 98 |
| 2002-12-06 | vs | New Hampshire | W | 87 - 68 |
| 2002-12-08 | vs | Long Island University | L | 70 - 78 |
| 2002-12-13 | vs | Harvard | L | 71 - 76 |
| 2002-12-23 | @ | Drexel | L | 54 - 75 |
| 2003-01-02 | @ | Albany (NY) | L | 54 - 61 |
| 2003-01-04 | @ | Oral Roberts | L | 54 - 78 |
| 2003-01-07 | @ | Dartmouth | W | 64 - 54 |
| 2003-01-11 | vs | Lafayette | W | 66 - 64 |
| 2003-01-15 | @ | Holy Cross | L | 43 - 86 |
| 2003-01-18 | vs | Army | W | 86 - 58 |
| 2003-01-24 | @ | American | L | 55 - 58 |
| 2003-01-26 | @ | Navy | W | 53 - 48 |
| 2003-01-31 | vs | Bucknell | L | 42 - 62 |
| 2003-02-02 | vs | Lehigh | W | 77 - 68 |
| 2003-02-07 | @ | Lafayette | L | 56 - 60 |
| 2003-02-12 | vs | Holy Cross | L | 91 - 92 |
| 2003-02-15 | @ | Army | W | 68 - 58 |
| 2003-02-21 | vs | Navy | W | 73 - 52 |
| 2003-02-23 | vs | American | W | 60 - 59 |
| 2003-02-28 | @ | Lehigh | W | 75 - 68 |
| 2003-03-02 | @ | Bucknell | W | 64 - 56 |
| 2003-03-08 | N | Lafayette | L | 76 - 89 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.