🐻⬇️🏀

Colby

Also known as: Colby
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1181 (#53) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1214 (#41) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1114 (#71) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +4.5 (#137) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +3.1 (#301) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.560 (#430) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.7 More → 0.519 (#350) AdjNet +0.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.5 More → 0.514 (#347) AdjNet +0.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.2 | AdjD 77.8 More → 0.509 (#346) AdjO 78.2 | AdjD 77.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 69.5 More → 0.660 (#136) AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 69.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.663 (#245) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.670 (#234) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 97 | GP 22 More → 1220 (#53) RD 97 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-15 @ Rivier - Incomplete score
2025-11-19 @ Thomas (ME) - Incomplete score
2025-11-21 vs Suffolk - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs Endicott - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 @ Lasell - Incomplete score
2025-11-30 vs Me.-Fort Kent - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 @ St. Joseph's (ME) - Incomplete score
2025-12-16 @ Maine Maritime - Incomplete score
2025-12-31 @ Springfield - Incomplete score
2026-01-01 vs SUNY Oneonta - Incomplete score
2026-01-04 @ Bates - Incomplete score
2026-01-09 vs Connecticut Col. - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Tufts - Incomplete score
2026-01-13 vs Bowdoin - Incomplete score
2026-01-15 @ Rhode Island Col. - Incomplete score
2026-01-18 vs Bates - Incomplete score
2026-01-20 vs Husson - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Bowdoin - Incomplete score
2026-01-30 @ Amherst - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Hamilton - Incomplete score
2026-02-06 vs Williams - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Middlebury - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Babacar Pouye - 1 28.0 25.0 11.0 4.0 0.0 6.0 4.0 18.0 24.0 6 0.4 3.6 55.6 33.3 100.0 0.33 66.2 63.9
Dan Civello - 20 26.6 18.4 6.3 3.2 0.4 1.1 2.5 13.1 13.8 94 4.9 36.7 53.8 42.5 75.9 1.18 64.4 62.4
K.J. Neville - 1 27.0 15.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 9.0 2 0.2 3.5 42.9 50.0 88.9 1.47 68.4 50.0
Marc Garraud - 1 30.0 13.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 14.0 5.0 37 2.8 58.8 35.7 30.0 0 1.48 46.4 46.4
Max Poulton - 20 28.1 11.8 6.0 2.6 0.5 0.3 1.4 9.4 10.6 150 7.9 47.1 43.6 32.8 91.7 3.52 58.1 54.3
Sam Hinman - 20 25.6 11.4 3.5 1.7 0.7 0.1 1.1 10.0 6.2 95 5.0 30.0 37.0 35.4 80.6 0.45 52.8 49.8
Drew Martin - 1 30.0 11.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 11.0 98 5.8 40.6 57.1 40.0 50.0 4.53 69.8 71.4
Sean O'Leary - 1 34.0 11.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 13.0 25 1.5 10.0 66.7 50.0 100.0 3.15 79.9 75.0
Chiwer Mayen - 1 12.0 10.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 12.0 11 0.6 13.1 100.0 0 0.0 -0.39 85.0 100.0
Elias Chin - 1 27.0 9.0 6.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 8.0 11.0 4 0.3 6.4 25.0 0.0 100.0 -0.04 44.1 25.0
Marcos Montiel - 12 20.3 7.9 4.2 2.7 0.8 0.2 1.8 7.8 6.2 - - - 37.2 26.9 72.0 0.07 45.2 41.0
Chris Hammond - 1 23.0 7.0 5.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 10.0 62 3.6 22.2 40.0 25.0 100.0 -2.6 59.5 50.0
Savion Stroud - 20 28.7 6.2 4.7 3.8 1.6 0.4 2.5 5.1 8.9 101 5.3 32.2 42.2 32.4 65.0 1.2 51.4 47.5
Mason Dobie - 19 13.8 6.2 3.1 0.9 0.5 0.0 0.8 4.4 5.5 66 3.7 68.6 42.2 25.7 77.6 0.57 55.9 47.6
Sherron Woodberry - 1 25.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 1.0 53 3.1 24.9 28.6 28.6 0 1.29 42.9 42.9
Brady Coyne - 1 24.0 6.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 3.0 -12 -0.7 -4.3 28.6 33.3 0.0 -0.33 40.3 42.9
Theo Pow - 17 11.3 4.9 3.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.9 3.5 4.8 67 3.9 24.7 51.7 16.7 69.0 0.02 57.0 52.5
Nate Kwiecinski - 20 11.6 4.4 3.2 1.0 0.5 0.8 0.9 2.9 6.1 34 1.8 19.8 50.0 14.3 64.4 -1.0 56.6 50.9
Mitch Humphrey - 19 17.4 3.9 2.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 3.4 3.8 34 2.0 59.6 37.5 39.6 75.0 -1.56 55.5 53.9
Matthew Lamy - 17 15.0 3.7 2.2 0.7 0.1 0.3 0.4 2.7 3.9 79 4.6 40.4 41.3 33.3 71.4 1.27 57.0 52.2
Jack Gatjanis - 15 8.3 2.8 1.3 0.1 0.4 0.1 1.1 2.3 1.3 -35 -2.7 -110.5 47.1 40.0 66.7 -4.78 57.3 55.9
Peter Psyhogeos - 1 13.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 45 2.6 19.7 25.0 0.0 0 -0.6 25.0 25.0
Rashard Doyal - 12 5.5 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.4 2.2 0.6 6 0.5 27.3 29.6 33.3 0 -0.29 38.9 38.9
Kameran Rodriguez - 15 7.5 1.5 1.4 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.8 2.0 1.7 39 2.8 129.3 36.7 0.0 25.0 1.39 36.2 36.7
Nate Pabis - 1 12.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 20 1.2 13.7 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.53 17.4 0.0
Will Perkins - 5 1.5 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Ian Schnabel - 4 1.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.2 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Zane Adnan - 1 11.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 61 5.1 37.2 0.0 0.0 0 2.16 0.0 0.0
Miles Drake - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -1.12 0 0
Charlie Hinman - 5 1.5 0.0 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 -0.2 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
David Omasombo - 1 7.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 57 4.8 138.3 0.0 0 0 2.57 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG