Colby-Sawyer
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 947 (#338) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 861 (#498) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 907 (#603) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -21.8 (#365) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -17.6 (#582) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.090 (#637) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.142 (#472) | NetEff -12.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.014 (#655) | AdjNet -36.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.012 (#656) | AdjNet -37.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.108 (#650) | AdjO 50.6 | AdjD 73.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.294 (#606) | AdjO 57.2 | AdjD 66.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.177 (#613) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.194 (#606) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 859 (#452) | RD 105 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Keene St. | L | 65 - 89 |
| 2025-11-09 | vs | Lesley | W | 81 - 44 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Dartmouth | L | 33 - 98 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Nichols | L | 67 - 76 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | VTSU-Johnson | W | 74 - 48 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Fitchburg St. | W | 73 - 61 |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Thomas (ME) | L | 52 - 66 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | NYU | L | 42 - 115 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Medgar Evers | W | 76 - 59 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Plymouth St. | L | 64 - 74 |
| 2025-12-10 | @ | Amherst | L | 42 - 78 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Emmanuel (MA) | L | 53 - 79 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Dean | W | 77 - 52 |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | New England Col. | L | 57 - 76 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Elms | L | 77 - 83 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Rivier | W | 58 - 41 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Mitchell | W | 88 - 60 |
| 2026-02-03 | @ | Norwich | L | 50 - 66 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Saint Joseph (CT) | W | 69 - 59 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren MacDonald | - | 19 | 26.3 | 11.3 | 5.5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 10.2 | 7.8 | -102 | -5.1 | -29.3 | 43.8 | 26.0 | 66.7 | 0.69 | 50.0 | 47.2 |
| Elyza Mitchell | - | 15 | 30.8 | 10.9 | 8.4 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 8.7 | 11.9 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 53.1 | 12.5 | 48.0 | 0.92 | 53.6 | 53.5 |
| Tanner Drury | - | 19 | 29.3 | 10.7 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 4.2 | 10.1 | 3.3 | -101 | -5.3 | -21.4 | 32.3 | 29.8 | 77.8 | -2.35 | 47.0 | 41.9 |
| Emily Leonard | - | 19 | 23.1 | 10.6 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 7.3 | 7.5 | -95 | -5.0 | -32.8 | 50.0 | 42.9 | 77.4 | -0.69 | 66.3 | 64.1 |
| Makenna Grillone | - | 19 | 25.8 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 7.6 | 3.3 | -77 | -3.9 | -19.9 | 32.6 | 27.1 | 57.1 | -1.43 | 41.7 | 39.2 |
| Catherine Chick | - | 19 | 21.0 | 6.1 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 5.6 | 5.2 | -57 | -3.0 | -20.0 | 41.5 | 30.0 | 42.1 | 0.07 | 43.9 | 42.9 |
| Taylor Fellows | - | 19 | 16.8 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 4.4 | 2.1 | -61 | -3.2 | -22.5 | 28.9 | 22.7 | 31.8 | 1.91 | 35.1 | 34.9 |
| Delaney Raymond | - | 13 | 12.0 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 0.8 | -14 | -0.9 | -8.9 | 32.4 | 29.6 | 50.0 | -1.08 | 43.6 | 43.2 |
| Emma Greenan | - | 11 | 13.1 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 3.4 | -30 | -3.8 | -50.6 | 35.5 | 0 | 42.9 | -0.57 | 37.7 | 35.5 |
| Larissa Daigle | - | 4 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 5 | 1.7 | 12.4 | 75.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.34 | 82.0 | 75.0 |
| Molly Denis | - | 18 | 14.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 0.9 | -106 | -5.9 | -59.2 | 15.6 | 9.1 | 81.8 | -0.93 | 25.1 | 17.8 |
| Aryanna Sheehan | - | 3 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | -6 | -0.8 | -31.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.12 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
| Sierra Derby | - | 4 | 7.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | -5 | -1.7 | -32.5 | 40.0 | 0 | 25.0 | 0.01 | 37.0 | 40.0 |
| Sophie Desrochers | - | 3 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Emma Trimper | - | 1 | 4.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kaylee Manzella | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG