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Coastal Carolina

Also known as: Coastal Carolina
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1019 (#222) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1065 (#152) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 1020 (#242) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +52.8 (#2) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.996 (#94) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +70.2 More → 1.000 (#27) NetEff +70.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +38.0 More → 0.988 (#75) AdjNet +38.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +37.9 More → 0.990 (#73) AdjNet +37.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 86.1 | AdjD 57.8 More → 0.929 (#55) AdjO 86.1 | AdjD 57.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 59.5 More → 0.738 (#58) AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 59.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.959 (#5) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.938 (#8) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 1080 (#157) RD 350 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-09 vs Lees-McRae W 111 - 53

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tessa Grady - 1 26.2 23.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 13.0 - - - 57.1 45.5 100.0 - 77.3 75.0
Kinsea Grimes - 1 23.4 22.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 15.0 14.0 - - - 53.3 80.0 40.0 - 64.0 66.7
D'Yanis Jimenez - 1 27.4 15.0 3.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 8.0 13.0 - - - 50.0 75.0 80.0 - 73.5 68.8
Tracey Hueston - 1 11.7 12.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 11.0 - - - 100.0 0 80.0 - 93.8 100.0
Baylee Lowder - 1 17.4 11.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 12.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 100.0 - 112.7 112.5
Olivia Klanac - 1 19.6 9.0 7.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 10.0 9.0 - - - 40.0 25.0 0 - 45.0 45.0
Tateyoina Harris - 1 23.0 7.0 12.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 19.0 37 1.5 4.7 50.0 0 60.0 1.98 56.5 50.0
Kristin Williams - 1 16.1 5.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 3.0 121 5.3 24.0 28.6 20.0 0 3.3 35.7 35.7
Hennessey Luu-Brown - 1 11.7 5.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 100.0 - 133.0 150.0
J'yana Salton - 1 4.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 100.0 - 113.6 0
Paige Bradley - 1 19.1 0.0 4.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG