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Cleveland State

Also known as: Cleveland State Vikings
Program History

2013 Team Stats (4 games)

59.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
38.3%
FG%
21.6%
3P%
72.2%
FT%
27.3
RPG
10.0
APG
13.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
62.0
Adj PPG
68.0
Adj Opp PPG
#260
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 881 (#237) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 937 (#212) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 931 (#262) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ -6.2 (#260) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -8.2 (#285) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.224 (#299) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.8 More โ†’ 0.245 (#259) AdjNet -9.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.8 More โ†’ 0.243 (#259) AdjNet -9.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 68.0 More โ†’ 0.367 (#260) AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 68.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 68.6 More โ†’ 0.346 (#310) AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 68.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.320 (#265) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.316 (#272) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 161 | GP 29 More โ†’ 918 (#223) RD 161 | GP 29

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Grambling Tigers W 92 - 49
2012-11-12 vs Bowling Green Falcons W 79 - 73
2012-11-13 @ Michigan Wolverines L 47 - 77
2012-11-17 vs Old Dominion Monarchs W 67 - 55
2012-11-19 vs Alabama-Huntsville Chargers W 71 - 69
2012-11-20 @ Robert Morris Colonials L 62 - 71
2012-11-28 @ Ball State Cardinals W 69 - 63
2012-12-01 vs Toledo Rockets W 78 - 73
2012-12-08 @ NC State Wolfpack L 63 - 80
2012-12-15 @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 53 - 87
2012-12-19 vs Notre Dame College Falcons W 77 - 66
2012-12-23 @ Akron Zips L 57 - 87
2012-12-28 vs Rio Grande RedStorm W 79 - 59
2013-01-02 vs Kent State Golden Flashes L 55 - 72
2013-01-04 @ Valparaiso Beacons L 50 - 74
2013-01-07 vs UIC Flames W 60 - 50
2013-01-09 @ Wright State Raiders L 53 - 69
2013-01-12 vs Detroit Mercy Titans W 74 - 62
2013-01-17 @ Milwaukee Panthers L 57 - 69
2013-01-19 @ Green Bay Phoenix L 50 - 77
2013-01-23 vs Loyola Chicago Ramblers L 55 - 67
2013-01-26 @ Youngstown State Penguins L 59 - 73
2013-02-02 @ UIC Flames W 77 - 66
2013-02-05 vs Youngstown State Penguins W 66 - 60
2013-02-09 vs Valparaiso Beacons L 72 - 80
2013-02-12 @ Detroit Mercy Titans L 62 - 92
2013-02-15 vs Green Bay Phoenix L 59 - 66
2013-02-17 vs Milwaukee Panthers W 88 - 67
2013-02-20 vs Wright State Raiders L 41 - 50
2013-02-23 @ Western Illinois Leathernecks W 60 - 54
2013-03-02 @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers L 60 - 87
2013-03-05 @ UIC Flames L 59 - 82

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Anton Grady Anton Grady F 6 27.0 13.7 5.5 2.2 2.2 1.3 2.8 5.8 16.2 - - - - 51.4 0.0 75.0 1.07 106.4 51.4
Bryn Forbes Bryn Forbes G 32 28.3 12.7 3.5 1.2 0.8 0.0 1.7 4.1 12.5 -177 26 -6.8 -10.3 39.2 33.8 84.6 -2.79 138.3 49.2
Charlie Lee Charlie Lee G 32 34.4 11.6 2.9 4.8 1.2 0.2 3.5 3.8 13.2 -187 26 -7.2 -9.1 40.7 42.0 80.6 -1.06 133.6 49.2
Tim Kamczyc Tim Kamczyc F 32 30.4 8.1 3.6 1.5 1.0 0.4 1.2 3.2 10.2 -177 26 -6.8 -10.2 41.2 31.4 71.4 -1.4 116.0 49.0
Marlin Mason Marlin Mason F 32 22.3 8.0 5.3 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.7 3.0 11.6 -76 26 -2.9 -5.7 40.6 30.8 78.1 0.7 115.8 44.8
Sebastian Douglas Sebastian Douglas G 31 27.9 6.7 3.4 1.7 1.2 0.1 2.4 3.0 7.7 -170 25 -6.8 -10.8 46.2 7.1 57.1 -2.44 101.7 46.8
Devon Long Devon Long C 26 19.9 6.7 3.5 0.4 0.6 0.5 1.0 1.7 8.9 -63 21 -3.0 -6.5 68.2 0 16.7 0.37 176.5 68.2
Junior Lomomba Junior Lomomba G 25 18.5 5.8 2.3 1.2 0.8 0.0 1.6 1.1 7.5 -38 21 -1.8 -4.3 29.6 25.0 65.8 0.89 165.8 31.5
Ludovic Ndaye Ludovic Ndaye F 24 12.6 3.0 2.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.3 1.2 4.6 -85 21 -4.0 -13.7 46.4 0.0 50.0 -4.07 109.7 46.4
Aaron Scales Aaron Scales F 24 5.5 1.5 1.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 2.2 -40 18 -2.2 -17.5 38.5 0 66.7 -1.69 106.1 38.5
Josh Ivory Josh Ivory G 30 8.9 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.7 1.7 -43 24 -1.8 -9.2 28.6 35.3 25.0 -2.72 85.7 42.9
Raphael Veira Raphael Veira G 13 1.9 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 -2 8 -0.2 -7.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.7 25.5 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG