Clark Atlanta
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1055 (#127) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 972 (#317) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1120 (#53) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.4 (#177) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.8 (#240) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.785 (#255) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.729 (#213) | NetEff +7.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.648 (#337) | AdjNet +5.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.652 (#341) | AdjNet +5.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.576 (#335) | AdjO 67.8 | AdjD 64.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.633 (#136) | AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 66.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.672 (#209) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.682 (#194) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1124 (#94) | RD 94 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Mississippi Col. | L | 72 - 74 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | West Ala. | L | 69 - 86 |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Miles | L | 65 - 69 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Tuskegee | L | 54 - 62 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Benedict | W | 81 - 79 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Edward Waters | L | 61 - 64 |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | Ga. Southwestern | L | 64 - 89 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Albany St. (GA) | W | 73 - 66 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Spring Hill | W | 81 - 47 |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Central St. (OH) | W | 71 - 47 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Kentucky St. | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | LeMoyne-Owen | W | 96 - 66 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Benedict | L | 64 - 71 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Savannah St. | W | 92 - 60 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Clayton St. | L | 82 - 84 |
| 2026-01-19 | @ | Fort Valley St. | W | 68 - 53 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Miles | W | 85 - 81 |
| 2026-01-27 | vs | Tuskegee | W | 66 - 50 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Albany St. (GA) | W | 85 - 60 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Spring Hill | W | 82 - 71 |
| 2026-02-02 | vs | Lane | L | 69 - 77 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Central St. (OH) | W | 47 - 45 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Kentucky St. | W | 83 - 65 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atreonia Garner | - | 22 | 34.8 | 18.9 | 7.4 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 3.1 | 14.3 | 12.9 | 38 | 1.7 | 5.4 | 54.9 | 37.5 | 65.3 | -3.18 | 58.1 | 55.9 |
| Janiah Ellis | - | 11 | 30.4 | 11.6 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 10.1 | 7.5 | 80 | 6.2 | 21.0 | 35.1 | 27.0 | 84.6 | 1.27 | 49.9 | 42.8 |
| Trinity Jones | - | 22 | 32.0 | 11.4 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 11.2 | 5.2 | 97 | 4.2 | 15.2 | 31.2 | 31.5 | 82.4 | 2.73 | 45.1 | 39.3 |
| Kyara Lawrence | - | 22 | 18.4 | 9.3 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 7.1 | 6.5 | 118 | 5.1 | 25.0 | 47.1 | 40.0 | 63.5 | 7.19 | 52.5 | 47.8 |
| Keyra Peterson | - | 12 | 24.4 | 9.0 | 6.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 7.2 | 8.8 | 49 | 4.1 | 32.7 | 47.7 | 0.0 | 59.1 | 1.33 | 51.3 | 47.7 |
| Joirdyn Smith | - | 21 | 25.0 | 8.1 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 6.3 | 4.8 | 69 | 3.1 | 16.2 | 39.4 | 38.4 | 72.3 | -0.17 | 56.0 | 51.9 |
| Janiah Caples | - | 11 | 21.6 | 6.8 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 8.3 | 2.5 | 7 | 0.6 | 4.6 | 31.9 | 28.6 | 35.7 | 0.7 | 38.6 | 38.5 |
| Aanisah Moncrief | - | 22 | 19.5 | 5.7 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 5.4 | 4.7 | 10 | 0.4 | 3.5 | 30.3 | 5.0 | 89.8 | 1.2 | 43.5 | 30.7 |
| Beulah Odiong | - | 7 | 15.1 | 3.0 | 4.9 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.0 | 3.6 | - | - | - | 21.4 | 0 | 69.2 | 0.77 | 31.1 | 21.4 |
| Taylor Bolton | - | 21 | 10.6 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 11 | 0.5 | 6.9 | 41.3 | 16.0 | 65.0 | -1.78 | 50.2 | 45.7 |
| Shawn Tate | - | 22 | 17.1 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 4.8 | 21 | 0.9 | 5.9 | 45.3 | 100.0 | 53.8 | -1.74 | 47.7 | 46.2 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG