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Claremont-M-S

Season:
Also known as: Claremont-M-S
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1104 (#70) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1218 (#40) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1117 (#78) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +16.3 (#52) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +11.9 (#193) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.421 (#484) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +16.1 More → 0.901 (#155) NetEff +16.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.9 More → 0.688 (#316) AdjNet +6.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.6 More → 0.685 (#314) AdjNet +6.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.2 | AdjD 60.5 More → 0.582 (#316) AdjO 64.2 | AdjD 60.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 59.4 More → 0.698 (#127) AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 59.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.813 (#123) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.807 (#125) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 22 More → 1201 (#65) RD 100 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.