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Claflin

Also known as: Claflin
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1041 (#137) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1030 (#148) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More โ†’ 1063 (#111) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +1.3 (#215) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ +3.6 (#266) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.657 (#97) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -0.4 More โ†’ 0.488 (#246) NetEff -0.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.2 More โ†’ 0.697 (#148) AdjNet +7.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.5 More โ†’ 0.705 (#148) AdjNet +7.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.9 | AdjD 73.5 More โ†’ 0.620 (#153) AdjO 78.9 | AdjD 73.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 72.3 More โ†’ 0.556 (#208) AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 72.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.593 (#239) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.591 (#237) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 20 More โ†’ 1069 (#162) RD 100 | GP 20

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Glenville St. W 95 - 92
2025-11-15 @ West Virginia St. L 90 - 96
2025-11-25 @ Lee L 64 - 81
2025-11-28 vs Davenport W 102 - 99
2025-11-29 @ Tampa L 72 - 103
2025-12-03 vs UNC Pembroke L 72 - 86
2025-12-11 @ Bluefield St. W 87 - 67
2025-12-13 @ Virginia St. W 77 - 73
2025-12-15 @ Elizabeth City St. W 77 - 69
2025-12-19 vs Lynn L 75 - 85
2025-12-20 @ Florida Tech L 62 - 74
2026-01-08 vs Bowie St. W 79 - 54
2026-01-10 vs Lincoln (PA) W 78 - 76
2026-01-12 vs Virginia Union L 64 - 66
2026-01-17 vs Livingstone W 67 - 53
2026-01-21 vs Winston-Salem W 74 - 65
2026-01-26 @ Benedict - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 @ Fayetteville St. L 80 - 82
2026-02-02 vs Johnson C. Smith W 79 - 72
2026-02-04 @ Shaw W 80 - 79
2026-02-07 vs Shaw L 79 - 81
2026-02-12 @ Winston-Salem W 70 - 69
2026-02-14 @ Livingstone W 74 - 73
2026-02-18 vs Fayetteville St. L 78 - 91
2026-02-21 @ Johnson C. Smith W 65 - 52
2026-02-26 vs Bluefield St. L 68 - 70

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Alex Atkinson - 22 22.7 13.0 9.1 0.9 0.6 1.5 2.0 9.5 13.7 - - - - 58.2 18.2 68.3 - 60.9 58.7
Ramere Draper - 19 30.5 12.2 4.3 2.6 0.8 0.1 1.7 8.6 9.7 - - - - 51.2 46.8 65.1 - 60.2 57.9
Braylon Jackson - 20 21.8 10.9 4.0 0.6 0.9 0.2 1.1 9.4 6.1 - - - - 42.3 33.7 87.5 - 53.9 50.5
Hunter Johnson - 5 28.9 10.8 3.2 0.8 1.8 0.0 2.8 8.8 5.0 - - - - 43.2 35.7 73.3 - 53.4 48.9
Cristian Sanon - 24 25.3 10.8 2.6 0.8 0.8 0.0 1.0 9.1 4.9 - - - - 37.6 35.0 83.0 - 54.3 50.5
Horaces Jacques Jr. - 22 23.1 9.4 3.5 2.8 1.0 0.3 2.8 9.0 5.3 - - - - 39.6 32.8 65.3 - 47.4 44.4
Xavier Tubbs-Matthews - 18 16.0 7.6 1.8 2.8 1.1 0.0 2.0 6.0 5.3 - - - - 43.5 20.0 61.8 - 49.7 44.0
Justin Mims - 23 18.5 5.3 2.7 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.0 5.5 2.9 - - - - 36.5 27.4 52.6 - 45.4 44.4
Lyonel Hodges - 22 10.9 3.6 2.3 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.5 3.0 4.2 - - - - 47.0 25.0 58.3 - 51.6 49.2
Michael Shuler - 20 20.8 3.4 2.2 2.6 0.9 0.1 1.2 3.6 4.3 - - - - 31.5 29.4 58.3 - 43.4 41.8
David Onyekonwu - 24 14.7 3.2 4.6 0.4 0.1 1.1 1.2 2.2 6.0 - - - - 58.5 0.0 35.7 - 53.9 58.5
Grayson Kirk - 19 10.3 1.5 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.0 1.1 2.5 1.2 - - - - 25.5 0.0 66.7 - 28.2 25.5
Chandler Mason - 3 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 - - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
Braylon Maddox - 7 4.9 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.3 0.3 - - - - 11.1 25.0 75.0 - 27.9 16.7
Tory Davis - 8 3.5 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 -0.2 - - - - 33.3 33.3 0 - 50.0 50.0
Kaemon Khan - 6 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0 50.0 - 17.4 0.0
Donte Hickman, Jr. - 4 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG