Claflin
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1041 (#137) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1030 (#148) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1063 (#111) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +1.3 (#215) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +3.6 (#266) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.657 (#97) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.488 (#246) | NetEff -0.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.697 (#148) | AdjNet +7.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.705 (#148) | AdjNet +7.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.620 (#153) | AdjO 78.9 | AdjD 73.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.556 (#208) | AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 72.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.593 (#239) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.591 (#237) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1069 (#162) | RD 100 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Glenville St. | W | 95 - 92 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | West Virginia St. | L | 90 - 96 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Lee | L | 64 - 81 |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | Davenport | W | 102 - 99 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Tampa | L | 72 - 103 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | UNC Pembroke | L | 72 - 86 |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Bluefield St. | W | 87 - 67 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Virginia St. | W | 77 - 73 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Elizabeth City St. | W | 77 - 69 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Lynn | L | 75 - 85 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Florida Tech | L | 62 - 74 |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Bowie St. | W | 79 - 54 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Lincoln (PA) | W | 78 - 76 |
| 2026-01-12 | vs | Virginia Union | L | 64 - 66 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Livingstone | W | 67 - 53 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Winston-Salem | W | 74 - 65 |
| 2026-01-26 | @ | Benedict | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Fayetteville St. | L | 80 - 82 |
| 2026-02-02 | vs | Johnson C. Smith | W | 79 - 72 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Shaw | W | 80 - 79 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Shaw | L | 79 - 81 |
| 2026-02-12 | @ | Winston-Salem | W | 70 - 69 |
| 2026-02-14 | @ | Livingstone | W | 74 - 73 |
| 2026-02-18 | vs | Fayetteville St. | L | 78 - 91 |
| 2026-02-21 | @ | Johnson C. Smith | W | 65 - 52 |
| 2026-02-26 | vs | Bluefield St. | L | 68 - 70 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Atkinson | - | 22 | 22.7 | 13.0 | 9.1 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 9.5 | 13.7 | - | - | - | - | 58.2 | 18.2 | 68.3 | - | 60.9 | 58.7 |
| Ramere Draper | - | 19 | 30.5 | 12.2 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 8.6 | 9.7 | - | - | - | - | 51.2 | 46.8 | 65.1 | - | 60.2 | 57.9 |
| Braylon Jackson | - | 20 | 21.8 | 10.9 | 4.0 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 9.4 | 6.1 | - | - | - | - | 42.3 | 33.7 | 87.5 | - | 53.9 | 50.5 |
| Hunter Johnson | - | 5 | 28.9 | 10.8 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 8.8 | 5.0 | - | - | - | - | 43.2 | 35.7 | 73.3 | - | 53.4 | 48.9 |
| Cristian Sanon | - | 24 | 25.3 | 10.8 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.1 | 4.9 | - | - | - | - | 37.6 | 35.0 | 83.0 | - | 54.3 | 50.5 |
| Horaces Jacques Jr. | - | 22 | 23.1 | 9.4 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 9.0 | 5.3 | - | - | - | - | 39.6 | 32.8 | 65.3 | - | 47.4 | 44.4 |
| Xavier Tubbs-Matthews | - | 18 | 16.0 | 7.6 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 5.3 | - | - | - | - | 43.5 | 20.0 | 61.8 | - | 49.7 | 44.0 |
| Justin Mims | - | 23 | 18.5 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.5 | 2.9 | - | - | - | - | 36.5 | 27.4 | 52.6 | - | 45.4 | 44.4 |
| Lyonel Hodges | - | 22 | 10.9 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 4.2 | - | - | - | - | 47.0 | 25.0 | 58.3 | - | 51.6 | 49.2 |
| Michael Shuler | - | 20 | 20.8 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 3.6 | 4.3 | - | - | - | - | 31.5 | 29.4 | 58.3 | - | 43.4 | 41.8 |
| David Onyekonwu | - | 24 | 14.7 | 3.2 | 4.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 6.0 | - | - | - | - | 58.5 | 0.0 | 35.7 | - | 53.9 | 58.5 |
| Grayson Kirk | - | 19 | 10.3 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | 25.5 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 28.2 | 25.5 |
| Chandler Mason | - | 3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Braylon Maddox | - | 7 | 4.9 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 11.1 | 25.0 | 75.0 | - | 27.9 | 16.7 |
| Tory Davis | - | 8 | 3.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | -0.2 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Kaemon Khan | - | 6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Donte Hickman, Jr. | - | 4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG