Claflin
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1031 (#137) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1023 (#226) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1063 (#111) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +1.2 (#216) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.6 (#266) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.657 (#248) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.488 (#253) | NetEff -0.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.697 (#299) | AdjNet +7.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.705 (#298) | AdjNet +7.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.620 (#304) | AdjO 78.9 | AdjD 73.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.556 (#208) | AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 72.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.593 (#238) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.591 (#237) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1071 (#159) | RD 100 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Glenville St. | W | 95 - 92 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | West Virginia St. | L | 90 - 96 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Lee | L | 64 - 81 |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | Davenport | W | 102 - 99 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Tampa | L | 72 - 103 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | UNC Pembroke | L | 72 - 86 |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Bluefield St. | W | 87 - 67 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Virginia St. | W | 77 - 73 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | Elizabeth City St. | W | 77 - 69 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Lynn | L | 75 - 85 |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Florida Tech | L | 62 - 74 |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Bowie St. | W | 79 - 54 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Lincoln (PA) | W | 78 - 76 |
| 2026-01-12 | vs | Virginia Union | L | 64 - 66 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Livingstone | W | 67 - 53 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Winston-Salem | W | 74 - 65 |
| 2026-01-26 | @ | Benedict | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Fayetteville St. | L | 80 - 82 |
| 2026-02-02 | vs | Johnson C. Smith | W | 79 - 72 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Shaw | W | 80 - 79 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Shaw | L | 79 - 81 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ken Walker | - | 1 | 36.6 | 31.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | 57 | 2.9 | 9.8 | 56.2 | 63.6 | 85.7 | 0.97 | 81.2 | 78.1 |
| Dylan Smith | - | 1 | 36.2 | 27.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 22.0 | 55 | 3.1 | 13.3 | 92.3 | 0 | 100.0 | 1.42 | 94.3 | 92.3 |
| Jonathan Kurtas | - | 1 | 24.0 | 21.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 91 | 4.8 | 73.0 | 75.0 | 0 | 75.0 | 0.15 | 76.3 | 75.0 |
| Marshaun Flakes | - | 1 | 35.3 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.0 | 13.0 | -65 | -4.6 | -28.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | -1.53 | 55.5 | 60.7 |
| Javonte Waverly | - | 1 | 38.0 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 16.0 | 10.0 | 32 | 2.7 | 37.5 | 37.5 | 33.3 | 75.0 | -0.27 | 47.9 | 43.8 |
| Ramere Draper | - | 15 | 30.1 | 12.9 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 9.1 | 10.0 | -20 | -1.1 | -5.3 | 50.7 | 44.7 | 66.7 | 1.74 | 59.9 | 57.0 |
| Demar Anderson | - | 1 | 15.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 59 | 3.7 | 49.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 2.35 | 79.8 | 75.0 |
| Alex Atkinson | - | 16 | 21.1 | 11.6 | 9.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 8.8 | 12.8 | 65 | 4.1 | 20.8 | 56.0 | 0.0 | 71.8 | 0.85 | 58.8 | 56.0 |
| Braylon Jackson | - | 16 | 21.6 | 11.2 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 9.4 | 6.5 | -2 | -0.1 | -1.3 | 43.7 | 35.2 | 88.5 | 0.44 | 55.4 | 52.0 |
| Aidan Moon | - | 1 | 40.5 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 19.0 | -3 | -0.2 | -0.8 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | 2.02 | 112.7 | 125.0 |
| Alden Ritt | - | 1 | 46.1 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | -27 | -1.4 | -7.0 | 45.5 | 16.7 | 0.0 | -2.13 | 48.1 | 50.0 |
| Cristian Sanon | - | 18 | 24.5 | 10.8 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 8.7 | 5.2 | -69 | -3.6 | -21.0 | 39.5 | 35.3 | 84.8 | 0.82 | 56.6 | 52.9 |
| Horaces Jacques Jr. | - | 17 | 23.6 | 9.8 | 3.7 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 9.1 | 5.6 | 22 | 1.7 | 6.9 | 40.0 | 38.3 | 59.5 | -1.66 | 48.1 | 45.8 |
| Hunter Johnson | - | 3 | 26.9 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 8.3 | 2.3 | - | - | - | 44.0 | 25.0 | 33.3 | - | 45.6 | 46.0 |
| Xavier Tubbs-Matthews | - | 13 | 16.5 | 7.8 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 6.2 | 5.1 | -18 | -1.3 | -12.0 | 43.2 | 33.3 | 62.0 | -0.28 | 49.5 | 43.8 |
| Joe'l Pettiford | - | 1 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 15 | 0.8 | 10.5 | 60.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.41 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Dallas Whitney | - | 1 | 17.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 100 | 5.3 | 39.0 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 4.23 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Justin Mims | - | 18 | 18.4 | 5.4 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 5.5 | 2.7 | -40 | -2.1 | -25.8 | 38.4 | 28.1 | 38.5 | 0.52 | 46.3 | 46.5 |
| Lyonel Hodges | - | 18 | 12.0 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 3.3 | 5.1 | 23 | 1.2 | 27.6 | 50.0 | 30.0 | 58.3 | -0.24 | 54.6 | 52.5 |
| David Onyekonwu | - | 18 | 15.0 | 3.5 | 4.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 6.6 | -56 | -2.9 | -32.3 | 61.0 | 0.0 | 34.2 | -0.18 | 54.6 | 61.0 |
| Michael Shuler | - | 15 | 21.3 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.8 | 4.7 | 16 | 1.0 | 7.4 | 31.6 | 30.8 | 55.6 | -0.4 | 43.5 | 42.1 |
| Curtis Jackson | - | 1 | 22.6 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 6 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.19 | 20.5 | 0.0 |
| Grayson Kirk | - | 16 | 10.5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2.8 | 0.9 | -53 | -3.3 | -50.4 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.59 | 27.9 | 25.0 |
| Chandler Mason | - | 2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Braylon Maddox | - | 6 | 5.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 11.1 | 25.0 | 75.0 | - | 27.9 | 16.7 |
| Tory Davis | - | 6 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -0.3 | -18 | -4.5 | -33.0 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 1.37 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Kaemon Khan | - | 5 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 3 | 0.6 | 133.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.3 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Donte Hickman, Jr. | - | 3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 26 | 2.0 | 28.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.74 | 0 | 0 |
| Imran Deen | - | 1 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -26 | -1.3 | -10.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Keane Hinkle | - | 1 | 6.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -2.0 | 14 | 0.7 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.34 | 0 | 0 |
| Zavion McClendon | - | 1 | 8.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -3.0 | 8 | 0.5 | 23.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.81 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jermaine Taggart | - | 1 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 11 | 1.0 | 13.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.11 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG