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Cincinnati

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Cincinnati Bearcats, Cincinnati
Program History
Coach: Mick Cronin

2018 Team Stats (28 games)

74.4
PPG
56.0
Opp
+18.4
Margin
44.7%
FG%
34.6%
3P%
69.8%
FT%
39.0
RPG
16.8
APG
10.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
73.6
Adj PPG
55.4
Adj Opp PPG
#6
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1472 (#5) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1353 (#5) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1173 (#7) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +19.0 (#8) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +16.6 (#14) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.950 (#1) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +29.7 More → 0.969 (#5) AdjNet +29.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +30.0 More → 0.970 (#6) AdjNet +30.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 55.4 More → 0.839 (#6) AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 55.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 57.0 More → 0.765 (#4) AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 57.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.896 (#6) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.887 (#5) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 105 | GP 36 More → 1380 (#5) RD 105 | GP 36

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 vs Savannah State Tigers W 107 - 77
2017-11-13 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 102 - 51
2017-11-16 vs Coppin State Eagles W 97 - 54
2017-11-20 vs Buffalo Bulls W 73 - 67
2017-11-21 vs Richmond Spiders W 75 - 48
2017-11-22 vs Wyoming Cowboys W 78 - 53
2017-11-27 vs Alabama State Hornets W 83 - 51
2017-12-02 @ Xavier Musketeers L 76 - 89
2017-12-09 @ Florida Gators L 60 - 66
2017-12-12 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs W 65 - 50
2017-12-16 @ UCLA Bruins W 77 - 63
2017-12-19 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 77 - 49
2017-12-21 vs Cleveland State Vikings W 81 - 62
2017-12-31 vs Memphis Tigers W 82 - 48
2018-01-04 @ Temple Owls W 55 - 53
2018-01-07 vs SMU Mustangs W 76 - 56
2018-01-13 @ South Florida Bulls W 78 - 55
2018-01-16 @ UCF Knights W 49 - 38
2018-01-20 vs East Carolina Pirates W 86 - 60
2018-01-24 vs Temple Owls W 75 - 42
2018-01-27 @ Memphis Tigers W 62 - 48
2018-01-31 vs Houston Cougars W 80 - 70
2018-02-03 @ UConn Huskies W 65 - 57
2018-02-06 vs UCF Knights W 77 - 40
2018-02-11 @ SMU Mustangs W 76 - 51
2018-02-15 @ Houston Cougars L 62 - 67
2018-02-18 vs Wichita State Shockers L 72 - 76
2018-02-22 vs UConn Huskies W 77 - 52
2018-02-25 vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane W 82 - 74
2018-03-01 @ Tulane Green Wave W 78 - 49
2018-03-04 @ Wichita State Shockers W 62 - 61
2018-03-09 vs SMU Mustangs W 61 - 51
2018-03-10 vs Memphis Tigers W 70 - 60
2018-03-11 vs Houston Cougars W 56 - 55
2018-03-16 vs Georgia State Panthers W 68 - 53
2018-03-18 vs Nevada Wolf Pack L 73 - 75

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Gary Clark Gary Clark - 35 28.7 12.9 8.6 2.1 1.4 1.2 1.0 7.3 17.9 358 30 11.9 18.2 52.5 44.4 72.8 3.83 71.2 57.2
Jacob Evans Jacob Evans - 35 30.8 12.8 4.7 3.1 1.3 0.9 1.7 9.2 11.9 377 29 13.0 17.4 42.7 37.5 78.0 4.74 61.2 50.6
Kyle Washington Kyle Washington F 35 23.5 11.5 5.5 0.4 0.3 1.4 1.2 8.4 9.5 286 30 9.5 17.9 49.7 33.3 70.8 2.21 62.3 52.7
Jarron Cumberland Jarron Cumberland - 35 29.1 11.5 3.9 2.8 1.0 0.4 1.8 8.3 9.5 369 29 12.7 18.3 41.7 34.2 69.9 3.7 60.2 51.0
Cane Broome Cane Broome G 33 20.5 7.6 1.5 2.8 0.9 0.1 1.4 5.2 6.3 196 28 7.0 15.0 43.5 37.1 69.8 -0.86 64.9 51.2
Justin Jenifer Justin Jenifer G 35 19.5 4.5 1.1 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.7 3.1 4.8 197 30 6.6 14.8 35.2 34.8 82.0 -1.49 61.2 46.3
Trevor Moore Trevor Moore G 34 11.9 3.3 1.7 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.4 2.6 2.9 78 29 2.7 10.5 30.0 27.5 67.6 -0.71 52.9 40.6
Mamoudou Diarra Mamoudou Diarra F 6 7.7 3.3 2.2 0.3 0.2 0.8 0.5 3.3 3.0 - - - - 35.0 50.0 83.3 -1.19 44.2 37.5
Tre Scott Tre Scott - 35 12.5 3.0 3.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.6 1.9 5.5 50 30 1.7 5.9 55.9 0.0 58.5 -2.23 61.6 55.9
Keith Williams Keith Williams G 32 9.7 2.8 1.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.8 2.6 1.6 48 27 1.8 8.5 39.0 14.3 55.6 -2.29 48.5 40.9
Nysier Brooks Nysier Brooks C 34 9.7 2.6 2.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 2.0 3.3 85 29 2.9 14.0 50.7 0 47.8 -0.21 56.2 50.7
Eliel Nsoseme Eliel Nsoseme F 27 5.7 0.9 1.5 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.7 2.1 53 24 2.2 16.2 55.6 0 16.7 2.3 49.4 55.6
Jackson Bart Jackson Bart F 11 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 0 9 0.0 0.0 25.0 25.0 0 -1.47 75.0 37.5
John Koz John Koz G 7 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 7 6 1.2 40.9 100.0 0 0 -0.01 100.0 100.0
Sam Martin Sam Martin G 9 1.9 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 -0.2 5 8 0.6 13.8 0.0 0.0 0 -0.36 20.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG