Cincinnati Christian
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 833 (#1020) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 876 (#987) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 995 (#334) | HCA +147 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.5 (#610) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -10.9 (#475) | HCA +3.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.458 (#400) | AdjO 64.3 | AdjD 66.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.237 (#491) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.269 (#494) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 838 (#519) | RD 350 | GP 3 |
2013 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-11-09 | @ | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | L | 56 - 89 |
| 2012-11-12 | @ | Radford Highlanders | L | 71 - 76 |
| 2012-11-19 | @ | Towson Tigers | L | 40 - 79 |
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M. Hill
|
G | 2 | 28.0 | 11.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 50.0 | 66.7 | -0.05 | 150.3 | 75.0 |
E. Young
|
- | 3 | 30.0 | 11.0 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.3 | 8.3 | -21 | -4.2 | -6.8 | 50.0 | 45.5 | 66.7 | -0.01 | 95.3 | 65.6 |
D.J. McCommons
|
G | 3 | 28.3 | 10.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 9.3 | - | - | - | 30.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.56 | 155.0 | 35.0 |
K. Gaynor
|
- | 3 | 29.7 | 8.0 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 3.7 | 8.3 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.57 | 101.0 | 45.5 |
W. Masse
|
F | 3 | 14.7 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.57 | 150.0 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG